Yum! Brands · Consumer Disc.
YUM
$147.92
Yum! Brands, Inc. is an American multinational fast food corporation.百胜餐饮集团（Yum!Brands,Inc.）是一家美国跨国快餐企业。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$41B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–13 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–13 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$147.92
11.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.7%
Market Cap市值
$41B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.09
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
36
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
88th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | YUM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.1 points落后指数 8.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -8.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 13.4 points落后指数 13.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 14.6 points落后指数 14.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -0.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.9 points落后指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +1.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 17.6 points落后指数 17.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
36
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-3.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
88th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$144.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$147.90
Stop止损
$147.90
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | YUM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.34x | 20.23 | 29% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.00x | 1.23 | 5% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.80% | 4.53 | 37% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.99% | 5.69 | 36% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.27% | 4.31 | 39% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.53x | 11.48 | 31% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.06x | 16.53 | 31% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-21.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
19.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.24 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.35 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $552.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $70.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 25% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 25% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.09×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.5%空头仓位变动 +10.5%
Technical技术面
YUM broke down vs the marketYUM 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.90%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.26%
Call wall看涨密集区
$160
Put wall看跌密集区
$145
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$140
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.9%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$8.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$8.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 17, 2026
YUM broke down vs the marketYUM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $147.92.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$147.92。
Jul 17, 2026
YUM weekly MACD crossed downYUM 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
YUM lost its 200-day averageYUM 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $152.57.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$152.57。
Jul 14, 2026
YUM daily MACD crossed downYUM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $158.18.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$158.18。
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 122 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.14
Value价值
-1.2
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Yum! Brands, Inc. is an American multinational fast food corporation.百胜餐饮集团（Yum!Brands,Inc.）是一家美国跨国快餐企业。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。