Coverage receipt覆盖情况说明

Universe:样本： 173 names tracked个标的追踪中

Price data:价格数据： 173 / 173 covered已覆盖

Revision data:预测修订数据： 138 / 173 — 35 names lack analyst coverage and receive no revision signals.个标的缺少分析师覆盖，不含预测修订信号。

Analyst rating data:分析师评级数据： unavailable — the crowding signal that reads it stays blank.不可用 — 依赖它的拥挤信号留空。

4H data available for select core names only; null-honest elsewhere

Machine state机器状态 labels appear only in receipts and the field guide. Glance tier uses plain English only.标签仅出现在说明弹窗和字段指南中。概览层仅使用通俗语言。

What does the market regime mean?"市场制度"是什么意思？

The market's internal structure is checked across breadth conditions: what share of stocks are above their 200-day average, how correlated they are, whether leadership is concentrated in a few mega-caps, and whether a rare breadth thrust event fired.市场内部结构通过多项广度条件检验：多少股票站在200日均线以上、相关性高低、领涨是否集中于少数超大盘股，以及是否触发罕见的广度冲击事件。

Breadth and dispersion mixed — no clear regime宽度与分散度交织——无明确格局

Machine label:机器标签： mixed · display only仅供展示

Breadth legs read the broad market (502 names); this desk tracks 173.广度指标取自大盘（502只）；本雷达追踪173只。

Leader Radar领袖雷达

Early-entry desk早入场台

Stocks staged before the crowd arrives — observation, not prediction人群到来前已布局的股票 — 观察，非预测

173 names tracked个标的追踪中 138 with revision data有预测修订数据 Data through Jul 16 close · updates nightly数据截至7月16日收盘 · 每晚更新 State tracking since Jul 11状态追踪自7月11日起 · 2-session gap缺口2个交易日 ?
Market regime市场制度
Mixed tape多空交织
Breadth and dispersion mixed — no clear regime宽度与分散度交织——无明确格局
Watch — don't chase观察——勿追高
?
Changed tonight今夜变化 ? Overnight stage moves — context, not signals隔夜阶段变化——仅供参考
EA → Quiet build 静默筑底
NVDA → Quiet build 静默筑底
PAYX → Quiet build 静默筑底
One signal away差一个信号 ? Watch — not a buy list观察——非买入清单
AMZN
Insider Cluster Insider Cluster
SHW
Insider Cluster Insider Cluster
MELI
Obv Divergence Obv Divergence
TRI
Obv Divergence Obv Divergence
Early entry board早入场看板 — hero核心
Ignition window点火窗口
0
No names in the ignition window today — the quiet-build lane is where the next ones come from.今日没有标的进入点火窗口 — 下一批将从静默筑底区涌现。
Quiet build静默筑底
33
AMZN
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Strengthening增强中
MACD crossed ↑ todayMACD今日上穿
SHW
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Strengthening增强中
ABNB
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Strengthening增强中
AEP
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Strengthening增强中
+29 more in this lane个标的在此区间
First stirrings初动迹象
16 left for dead无人问津
ADBE
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
All signals in信号齐备
CRM
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
All signals in信号齐备
LCID
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
All signals in信号齐备
ADSK
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Strengthening增强中
+7 more with lead signs个有领先信号
5 without lead signs — ignore for now个无领先信号——暂不关注
Lifecycle pipeline生命周期管道 — state machine状态机
Left for dead无人问津
16
Ignore暂不关注
ADBE ADSK ALNY CPRT +12
›
Quiet build静默筑底
33
Watch — don't chase观察——勿追高
AAPL ABNB AEP AMZN +29
›
Ignition window点火窗口
0
Get ready做好准备
none today今日无
›
Breaking away突破启动
10
In motion — don't chase行情进行中——勿追
APH CRWD DDOG FTNT +6
›
Leading领涨中
1
In favour顺风期
CAT
›
Crowded过度拥挤
0
Protect gains保护利润
none today今日无
Failed breaks突破失败 36 recycling · Stand aside循环中 · 观望回避
APLD ASML ASTS AXON BTDR COHR CSCO DELL ENTG FORM GOOG GOOGL IBM IREN KLAC MCHP MSTR MU NBIS NFLX +16
No signal无信号 77 watching观察中 — accumulating context nightly每晚积累背景数据
Handoff watch接力观察
Stretched leaders basing — who steps up next已超伸领涨股筑底 — 谁将接棒
—
No handoff candidates today今日无接力候选
Nothing is extended enough to trigger a handoff watch. When names in Breaking away become stretched, candidates appear here.目前无标的超伸至触发接力观察。当"突破启动"中的标的超伸时，候选将出现在此处。
Closest to stretched — basket extension check最接近超伸 — 篮子伸展检查
Semicap Equipment半导体设备 stretched further above trend than 9 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去9成时间 · strength rolling over相对强度回落中
Data Center Power数据中心电力 stretched further above trend than 5 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去5成时间
Ai SoftwareAI软件 stretched further above trend than 3 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去3成时间
Rerating watch重估观察
Estimates turning up while still cheap预期上调而估值仍低 — 11 names个标的
APH Breaking away突破启动
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据 Earnings <14d财报<14天
CAT Leading领涨中
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
CRWD Breaking away突破启动
Estimates not turning up盈利预期未转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
DDOG Breaking away突破启动
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
FTNT Breaking away突破启动
Estimates not turning up盈利预期未转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
GLW Breaking away突破启动
Estimates not turning up盈利预期未转正 no valuation data无估值数据
MKSI Breaking away突破启动
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
ONTO Breaking away突破启动
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据
PANW Breaking away突破启动
Estimates not turning up盈利预期未转正 no valuation data无估值数据
PYPL Breaking away突破启动
Estimates not turning up盈利预期未转正 no valuation data无估值数据
UNH Breaking away突破启动
Estimates turning up盈利预期转正 Broad breadth广泛修正 no valuation data无估值数据 Earnings <14d财报<14天
Fire log触发记录
Date日期 Ticker代码 Type类型 21d vs market21日超额
2026-07-15 CRWD Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-07-15 DDOG Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-07-15 PYPL Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
Fires are logged and graded automatically after 21 sessions; sample too small for a track record yet.触发自动记录，21个交易日后自动评分；样本尚少，未成往绩。
Full board完整看板 All全部 173 names · dense view个标的 · 密集视图
▼
Ticker代码 Stage阶段 Stance建议 Evidence证据 Days天数 Momentum动量
Leading领涨中 1 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 In favour顺风期
Breaking away突破启动 10 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 In motion — don't chase行情进行中——勿追
Quiet build静默筑底 33 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Watch — don't chase观察——勿追高
Left for dead无人问津 16 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Ignore暂不关注
Failed break突破失败 36 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Stand aside观望回避
No signal无信号 77 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Ignore暂不关注
Field guide — Stage anatomy实战手册 — 阶段解析
What each stage means in plain words. Machine names are in parentheses inside each section.每个阶段的通俗释义。机器内部名称括注于各节内部。
Left for dead — First stirrings无人问津 — 初动迹象►
Machine state: SUPPRESSED / 机器状态：SUPPRESSEDMachine state: SUPPRESSED / 机器状态：SUPPRESSED
RS underperforming for ≥3 months, drawdown ≥25% from 52-week high, valuation often in cheap territory. Sometimes years below the 200dma. Key question: is the compression cyclical or structural?RS连续≥3个月跑输大盘，自52周高点回撤≥25%，估值通常处于低廉区间。有时在200日均线下方数年。关键问题：压缩是周期性的还是结构性的？
Lead indicators:领先指标： revision_positive (cut cycle ending), cheap valuation pctile, insider_cluster, OBV divergence盈利预期转正（削减周期结束）、低廉估值分位、内部人增持、成交量-价格背离
Quiet build — Watch, don't chase静默筑底 — 观察，勿追►
Machine state: QUIET_ACCUMULATION / 机器状态：QUIET_ACCUMULATIONMachine state: QUIET_ACCUMULATION / 机器状态：QUIET_ACCUMULATION
Base forming: 60-day range compression. At least 2 of: revision cycle turning positive (revision_positive), RS slope turning up while long-term RS still negative (rs_turn), accumulation-day count building (accum_evidence), OBV making new highs while price has not (obv_divergence). Highest-ROI watch stage.筑底形成：60日区间压缩。至少2项：预测周期开始转正（revision_positive），RS斜率上升但长期RS仍为负（rs_turn），积累日计数增加（accum_evidence），OBV创新高而价格未创（obv_divergence）。回报率最高的观察阶段。
Lead:领先： rs_turn, revision_positive, obv_divergence相对大盘转强、盈利预期转正、底部买盘积累
Lag:滞后： price confirming (bw_emerging)价格确认（突破酝酿中）
Ignition window — Get ready点火窗口 — 做好准备►
Machine state: CATALYST_WINDOW / 机器状态：CATALYST_WINDOWMachine state: CATALYST_WINDOW / 机器状态：CATALYST_WINDOW
Ignition trigger within 10 sessions: gap ≥+5% on ≥2× 20-day volume (gap_ignition), breakaway watch emerging (bw_emerging), or RS-line making 126-day new high while price has not (rs_line_nh — RS leads price). The Stage-2 foundation is a necessary precondition — ignition without a base almost always reverts.10个交易日内出现点火触发：跳空≥+5%且成交量≥20日均量的2倍（gap_ignition），突破观察新兴（bw_emerging），或RS线创126日新高而价格未创（rs_line_nh — RS领先价格）。阶段2基础是必要前提 — 无基础的点火几乎总是反转。
Strongest leading observable:最强领先可观测指标： rs_line_nh相对强度先于股价创新高
Confirm:确认： gap_ignition, bw_emerging, 2D MACD cross放量跳空上行、突破酝酿中、2日MACD上穿
Breaking away — In motion突破启动 — 行情进行中►
Machine state: BREAKAWAY / 机器状态：BREAKAWAYMachine state: BREAKAWAY / 机器状态：BREAKAWAY
Detector-D onset: liquid ∧ rel-breakaway ∧ 63d-new-high ∧ vol-confirm. Continuation: RS top-decile persistence ≥4 weeks (rs_top_decile_4w). Concentration fingerprint: leader RS-accel > 0 while same-basket peer-median RS < 0 (peer_divergence).突破探测器D启动：流动性 ∧ 相对突破 ∧ 63日新高 ∧ 成交量确认。延续：RS前十分位持续≥4周（rs_top_decile_4w）。集中度指纹：领头者RS加速>0，同伴中位RS<0（peer_divergence）。
Crowded — Protect gains过度拥挤 — 保护利润►
Machine state: CROWDED / 机器状态：CROWDEDMachine state: CROWDED / 机器状态：CROWDED
≥3 of: extension ≥25% vs 50dma (extension_extreme), monthly RSI ≥80 (monthly_rsi_80), parabolic (parabolic), valuation ≥80th pctile 5y (valuation_extreme), analyst buy-share ≥85% (analyst_saturated), call-skew richness (call_skew_rich), basket-correlation ≥0.75 rising from below 0.5 (basket_corr_rising). Late-stage; handoff watch most relevant.≥3项：超伸≥25%（extension_extreme），月RSI≥80（monthly_rsi_80），抛物线（parabolic），估值≥5年80分位（valuation_extreme），分析师买入比例≥85%（analyst_saturated），看涨偏斜过高（call_skew_rich），篮子相关性≥0.75且从低于0.5上升（basket_corr_rising）。后期阶段；接力观察最为重要。
Failed break — Stand aside突破失败 — 观望回避►
Machine state: FAILED / 机器状态：FAILEDMachine state: FAILED / 机器状态：FAILED
Breakaway attempt that reversed — Detector-D "failed" state (bw_failed). Evidence dissipated. Not a permanent label: a name can re-accumulate and re-enter Quiet build (21-session + full de-escalation lockout before the ledger refires).突破尝试后反转 — 突破探测器D"失败"状态（bw_failed）。证据消散。不是永久标签：标的可重新积累并重进静默筑底（台账重新触发前需21个交易日 + 完全去升级锁定）。
Signal classification & base rates信号分类与基础成功率►

A fire badge means the engine logged the event — not that an outcome is expected. Fires are logged and graded automatically after 21 sessions; sample too small for a track record yet.触发标记意味着引擎记录了该事件，而非预期某种结果。触发自动记录，21个交易日后自动评分；样本尚少，未成往绩。

Lead signals (appear before price):领先信号（先于价格出现）： rs_line_nh, revision_positive, obv_divergence, insider_cluster相对强度先于股价创新高、盈利预期转正、底部买盘悄然积累、内部人增持
Confirm signals (coincide with price):确认信号（与价格同步）： gap_ignition, bw_emerging, accum_evidence, 2D MACD cross放量跳空上行、突破酝酿中、成交量温和吸筹、2日MACD上穿
Lag signals (appear after price):滞后信号（价格后出现）： analyst_saturated, call_skew_rich分析师一致看多、看涨期权被追捧
Value-trap question:价值陷阱问题： Is the multiple compression cyclical or structural? The chip prints the observable; the answer is yours to supply.估值倍数压缩是周期性还是结构性？信号指标呈现可观测指标；答案需要你自己判断。