D. R. Horton · Consumer Disc.
DHI
$149.39
D.R. Horton, Inc. is an American home construction company based in Arlington, Texas.D.R.霍顿公司是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于德克萨斯州阿灵顿。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$43B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$149.39
18.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.1%
Market Cap市值
$43B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.79
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-21 (2d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DHI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.4% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 11.4 points落后指数 11.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +3.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 6.0 points落后指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +14.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-0.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$145.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$149.40
Stop止损
$148.50
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
2
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-21
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | DHI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.10x | 20.23 | 78% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.81x | 2.97 | 68% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.27x | 1.23 | 48% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.26% | 4.53 | 81% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.57% | 5.69 | 70% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 11.05% | 4.31 | 91% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.22x | 16.53 | 67% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
14.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $4.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $131.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -8.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.79×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DHI lost its 200-day averageDHI 跌破200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.66%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.94%
Call wall看涨密集区
$155
Put wall看跌密集区
$140
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$163
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
5.5%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 13 fresh positions; P/C 21.66; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI -293); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；13个新建仓；看跌看涨比 21.66；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI -293）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
DHI lost its 200-day averageDHI 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $149.39.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$149.39。
Jul 16, 2026
DHI StochRSI turned up from oversoldDHI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $154.42.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$154.42。
Jul 15, 2026
DHI reclaimed its 200-day averageDHI 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $151.55.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$151.55。
Jul 13, 2026
DHI lost its 200-day averageDHI 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $148.85.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$148.85。
Jul 10, 2026
DHI reclaimed its 200-day averageDHI 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $151.58.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$151.58。
Jul 8, 2026
DHI lost its 200-day averageDHI 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $148.51.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$148.51。
Jul 2, 2026
DHI daily MACD crossed downDHI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $158.57.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$158.57。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.41
Value价值
+0.5
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0
Company Profile公司档案
D.R. Horton, Inc. is an American home construction company based in Arlington, Texas.D.R.霍顿公司是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于德克萨斯州阿灵顿。
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