eBay Inc. · Consumer Disc.
EBAY
$112.76
eBay Inc. is an American multinational e-commerce company based in San Jose, California, that allows users to buy or view items via retail sales through online marketplaces and websites in 190 markets worldwide.eBay公司是一家美国跨国电子商务企业，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞，允许用户通过全球190个市场的在线平台和网站进行商品零售购买或浏览。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$50B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$112.76
4.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.9%
Market Cap市值
$50B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.8x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.77
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
37th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | EBAY | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.2% | +1.3% | Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.3% | +0.3% | Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.9% | +7.6% | Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +22.0% | +9.4% | Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +30.3% | +10.8% | Beat the index by 19.5 points跑赢指数 19.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +47.9% | +22.4% | Beat the index by 25.5 points跑赢指数 25.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +155.5% | +73.9% | Beat the index by 81.6 points跑赢指数 81.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +80.5% | +86.7% | Lagged the index by 6.2 points落后指数 6.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+18.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
37th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$111.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$112.80
Stop止损
$104.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being raised — 18 analysts预期上调 — 18 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | EBAY | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 24.77x | 20.23 | 32% |
| P/B市净率 | 11.22x | 2.97 | 14% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.53x | 1.23 | 5% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.04% | 4.53 | 40% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.85% | 5.69 | 24% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.97% | 4.31 | 59% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 18.23x | 11.48 | 21% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 35.09x | 16.53 | 17% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -11.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
45.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.41 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.10 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.5B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $607.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.5)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 19% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 19% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.77×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -14.5%空头仓位变动 -14.5%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.96%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.62%
Call wall看涨密集区
$115
Put wall看跌密集区
$110
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$112
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.2%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$22.9M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$22.9M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
EBAY took relative-strength leadershipEBAY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $114.71.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$114.71。
Jul 2, 2026
EBAY took relative-strength leadershipEBAY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $114.84.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$114.84。
Jun 30, 2026
EBAY daily MACD crossed upEBAY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $111.75.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$111.75。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
EBAY printed a daily-cycle lowEBAY 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $104.94.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$104.94。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.14
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.8
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
eBay Inc. is an American multinational e-commerce company based in San Jose, California, that allows users to buy or view items via retail sales through online marketplaces and websites in 190 markets worldwide.eBay公司是一家美国跨国电子商务企业，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞，允许用户通过全球190个市场的在线平台和网站进行商品零售购买或浏览。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。