AutoZone · Consumer Disc.
AZO
$3046.44
AutoZone, Inc., doing business as AutoZone, is an American retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories, the largest in the United States. Founded in 1979, AutoZone has 7,140 stores across the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Brazil, and the US...AutoZone公司以AutoZone名义经营，是一家美国售后汽车零部件和配件零售商，为美国最大。成立于1979年，AutoZone在美国、墨西哥、波多黎各、巴西和美属维尔京群岛拥有7,140家门店。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$50B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$3046.44
30.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 30.0%
Market Cap市值
$50B
Light volume成交量清淡
P/E Ratio市盈率
20.2x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
17.4x
EPS每股收益 $150.79
Beta贝塔
0.12
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AZO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 19.4 points落后指数 19.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -13.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -7.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -16.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 35.9 points落后指数 35.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +20.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 48.9 points落后指数 48.9 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +89.8% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 5.9 points跑赢指数 5.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-13.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
25
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$3037.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$3046.40
Stop止损
$2949.10
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +4.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+4.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AZO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 20.20x | 20.23 | 50% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 17.4x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 2.67x | 1.23 | 19% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.95% | 4.53 | 56% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.55% | 5.69 | 30% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.13% | 4.31 | 36% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.97x | 11.48 | 34% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 28.20x | 16.53 | 24% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-77.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.02 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.88 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.6B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $124.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 33% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 33% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.12×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AZO daily MACD crossed upAZO 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.29%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.12%
Call wall看涨密集区
$3300
Put wall看跌密集区
$3000
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.3%
Flow资金流向
$4M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 9 fresh positions; P/C 0.5; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $4M；0DTE占0%；9个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.5；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$45.4M net (3 buyers, 5 sellers)-$45.4M 净值（3 买家，5 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorsey Asset Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
AZO daily MACD crossed upAZO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $3,062.16.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$3,062.16。
Jul 15, 2026
AZO daily MACD crossed downAZO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $2,970.57.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$2,970.57。
Jul 14, 2026
AZO broke down vs the marketAZO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $3,032.07.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$3,032.07。
Jul 9, 2026
AZO broke down vs the marketAZO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $3,010.39.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$3,010.39。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
AZO broke down vs the marketAZO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $2,957.71.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$2,957.71。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3116 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.10
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+1.1
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
AutoZone, Inc., doing business as AutoZone, is an American retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories, the largest in the United States. Founded in 1979, AutoZone has 7,140 stores across the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Brazil, and the US...AutoZone公司以AutoZone名义经营，是一家美国售后汽车零部件和配件零售商，为美国最大。成立于1979年，AutoZone在美国、墨西哥、波多黎各、巴西和美属维尔京群岛拥有7,140家门店。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。