TSLA Tesla, Inc. · $380.84 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

TSLA

$380.84

Tesla, Inc. is an American multinational automotive and clean energy company.Tesla,Inc.是一家美国multinational汽车和清洁能源公司。

Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Mega cap超大盘 $1429B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势

Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 375.12.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 375.12 下方。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$381

$394

$381

$420

$350

$292$505

Price现价 $381Trail stop止损线 $394Don't chase勿追高 $381Call wall看涨期权墙 $420Put wall看跌期权墙 $350 Buy zone买入区 $358–$369

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$380.84

22.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.3%

Market Cap市值

$1429B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

376.5x

20.2x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

149.1x

EPS每股收益 $1.01

Beta贝塔

2.13

Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-07-22 (3d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

97th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

2.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	TSLA	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-6.6%	-1.5%	Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-3.9%	+0.6%	Lagged the index by 4.5 points落后指数 4.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-4.9%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 9.6 points落后指数 9.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-13.0%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 20.8 points落后指数 20.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-13.1%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 22.2 points落后指数 22.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+19.2%	+19.4%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Years近3年	+29.8%	+69.4%	Lagged the index by 39.6 points落后指数 39.6 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+77.3%	+83.9%	Lagged the index by 6.6 points落后指数 6.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universeInsider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 43 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -7.1% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 -8.7% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 12 No clear trend无明显趋势

Volatility rank波动率分位 97th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$363.30

Don't chase above不追高于

$380.80

Stop止损

$375.10

Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-07-22

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -8.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-8.2%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	TSLA	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	376.52x	20.23	0%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	149.1x	—	—
P/B市净率	17.39x	2.97	8%
P/S市销率	15.06x	1.23	1%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	0.27%	4.53	11%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	0.44%	5.69	9%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	151.32x	11.48	0%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	229.67x	16.53	2%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$31.5B

2020

$53.8B

2021

$81.5B

2022

$96.8B

2023

$97.7B

2024

$94.8B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.6%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$0.64

2020

$4.90

2021

$3.62

2022

$4.30

2023

$2.04

2024

$1.08

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.0%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$2.8B

2020

$5.0B

2021

$7.6B

2022

$4.4B

2023

$3.6B

2024

$6.2B

2025

Margins利润率

Gross margin毛利率

18.0%

Operating margin营业利润率

4.6%

Net margin净利率

4.0%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

15.6%

4.6%Return on Equity股本回报率

2.8%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	-0.89
Current ratio流动比率	2.16

Capital Allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$2.8B
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	+16.6%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (17.1) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵

Cheaper than 4% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 4% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

2.13×

0.21×3×

Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍

Financial Health财务健康

5/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道，多空参半

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Magnificent Seven theme — #18 of 46 themes「七巨头」主题 — 46 个主题中第 18 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动

±3.03%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±6.78%

Call wall看涨密集区

$420

Put wall看跌密集区

$350

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$395

IV rankIV历史分位

79%

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

0.9%

Flow资金流向

$1.2B premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 335 fresh positions; P/C 0.77; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1.2B；0DTE占0%；335个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.77；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$65.1M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$65.1M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen)	B	Adding加仓	2.6%	2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management	B	Holding持有	0.3%	2026-03-31
Corvex Management	A	Holding持有	0.0%	2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management	B	Holding持有	0.0%	2026-03-31
Greenlea Lane Capital	B	trimtrim	5.9%	2026-03-31
Coatue Management	A	trimtrim	0.1%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%

COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN

Jul 15, 2026

NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中

SELL SETUP卖出预备

Jul 15, 2026

TSLA broke down vs the marketTSLA 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $394.46.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$394.46。

Jul 14, 2026

TSLA daily MACD crossed downTSLA 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $396.18.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$396.18。

Jul 13, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 7, 2026

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Jul 7, 2026

TSLA lost its 200-day averageTSLA 跌破200日均线

Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $402.90.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$402.90。