TJX TJX Companies · $154.46 High-confluence leader (context)高共振领先（参考） Terminal终端 ↗

TJX Companies · Consumer Disc.

TJX

$154.46

The TJX Companies, Inc. is an American multinational off-price department store corporation, headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.TheTJXCompanies,Inc.是一家美国multinational折扣百货公司，总部位于马萨诸塞州弗雷明汉。

Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $171B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

High-confluence leader (context)高共振领先（参考）

Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 150.34.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 150.34 下方。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$154

$160

$140

$118$172

Price现价 $154Trail stop止损线 $154Don't chase勿追高 $154Call wall看涨期权墙 $160Put wall看跌期权墙 $140

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$154.46

8.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.3%

Market Cap市值

$171B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

31.1x

20.2x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

26.8x

EPS每股收益 $4.96

Beta贝塔

0.10

Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

1.24%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Volatility Rank波动率分位

96th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

1.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	TJX	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+2.1%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 3.6 points跑赢指数 3.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-5.9%	+0.6%	Lagged the index by 6.5 points落后指数 6.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-3.6%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 8.3 points落后指数 8.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-1.3%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+0.7%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+28.0%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 8.6 points跑赢指数 8.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+88.7%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 19.3 points跑赢指数 19.3 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+146.4%	+83.9%	Beat the index by 62.5 points跑赢指数 62.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 48 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.1% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.9% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 23 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 96th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$152.20

Don't chase above不追高于

$154.50

Stop止损

$150.30

Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: +3.2% (20d)财报后漂移：+3.2%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	TJX	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	31.13x	20.23	22%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	26.8x	—	—
P/B市净率	16.78x	2.97	8%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	3.21%	4.53	30%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	2.88%	5.69	25%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	2.55%	4.31	29%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	34.78x	16.53	19%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$32.1B

2020

$48.5B

2022

$49.9B

2023

$54.2B

2024

$56.4B

2025

$60.4B

2026

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.4%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$0.07

2020

$2.70

2022

$2.97

2023

$3.86

2024

$4.26

2025

$4.87

2026

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 133.6%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$4.0B

2020

$2.0B

2022

$2.6B

2023

$4.3B

2024

$4.2B

2025

$4.9B

2026

Margins利润率

53.9%Return on Equity股本回报率

15.4%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Current ratio流动比率

1.14

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$2.5B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$214.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-1.1%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵

Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

0.10×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍

Financial Health财务健康

7/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Strong financial health财务健康状况良好

Dividend分红

1.24%

Pays a dividend (1.24% yield)有分红（收益率 1.24%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 TJX daily MACD crossed upTJX 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±1.72%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±3.84%

Call wall看涨密集区

$160

Put wall看跌密集区

$140

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$151

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-1.1%

Flow资金流向

$3M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 17 fresh positions; P/C 0.55; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $3M；0DTE占0%；17个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.55；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.1M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$13.1M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN

Jul 17, 2026

TJX daily MACD crossed upTJX 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $154.46.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$154.46。

Jul 16, 2026

TJX reclaimed its 200-day averageTJX 收复200日均线

Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $154.79.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$154.79。

Jul 15, 2026

TJX StochRSI turned up from oversoldTJX StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $150.97.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$150.97。

Jul 9, 2026

TJX lost its 200-day averageTJX 跌破200日均线

Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $150.90.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$150.90。

Jul 9, 2026

TJX broke down vs the marketTJX 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $150.90.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$150.90。

Jul 7, 2026

TJX reclaimed its 200-day averageTJX 收复200日均线

Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $154.11.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$154.11。

Jul 7, 2026

TJX StochRSI turned up from oversoldTJX StochRSI自超卖区上行

StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $154.11.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$154.11。

Jul 6, 2026

TJX lost its 200-day averageTJX 跌破200日均线

Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $151.31.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$151.31。

Jul 6, 2026

TJX broke down vs the marketTJX 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $151.31.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$151.31。

Jul 2, 2026

TJX reclaimed its 200-day averageTJX 收复200日均线

Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $154.26.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$154.26。

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