AMZN Amazon · $247.23 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端
Amazon · Consumer Disc.

AMZN

$247.23
Amazon.com, Inc. is an American multinational technology company engaged in e-commerce, cloud computing, online advertising, digital streaming, entertainment, and artificial intelligence.Amazon.com,Inc.是一家美国跨国科技公司,从事电子商务、云计算、在线广告、数字流媒体、娱乐和人工智能业务。
Broken growth成长受损 Mega cap超大盘 $2653B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 227.01.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 227.01 下方。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

AMAZON 200.00 220.00 240.00 260.00 280.00 247.23 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 248.4MVOL MACD 0.630 MASTERMIND AMZNDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$247.23
10.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.1%
Market Cap市值
$2653B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.2x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
24.9x
EPS每股收益 $7.24
Beta贝塔
1.43
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
0.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 AMZN S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +4.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -1.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 6.0 points落后指数 6.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +3.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +9.2% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 +10.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 9.0 points落后指数 9.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +86.1% +69.4% Beat the index by 16.7 points跑赢指数 16.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +38.4% +83.9% Lagged the index by 45.5 points落后指数 45.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +5.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 22 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$242.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$247.20
Stop止损
$227.00
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 AMZN Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 34.16x 20.23
18%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 24.9x
P/B市净率 6.45x 2.97
23%
P/S市销率 3.70x 1.23
10%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.93% 4.53
27%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.29% 5.69
8%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 18.08x 11.48
22%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 344.77x 16.53
1%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$386.1B
2020
$469.8B
2021
$514.0B
2022
$574.8B
2023
$638.0B
2024
$716.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$41.83
2020
$64.81
2021
$-0.27
2022
$2.90
2023
$5.53
2024
$7.17
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -29.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$25.9B
2020
-$14.7B
2021
-$16.9B
2022
$32.2B
2023
$32.9B
2024
$7.7B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
11.2%
Net margin净利率
10.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.5%
18.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.13
Current ratio流动比率1.05
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$19.5B
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.6) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 16% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 16% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.43×
0.2
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道,多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Magnificent Seven theme — #18 of 46 themes「七巨头」主题 — 46 个主题中第 18 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.05%
Call wall看涨密集区
$260
Put wall看跌密集区
$220
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$218
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.6%
Flow资金流向

$449M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 166 fresh positions; P/C 0.56; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $449M;0DTE占0%;166个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.56;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$40.6M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$40.6M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)
Dispersed ownership分散持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Pershing Square (Ackman) C Adding加仓 17.4% 2026-03-31
Appaloosa (Tepper) A Adding加仓 15.2% 2026-03-31
Baupost Group (Klarman) C Adding加仓 12.7% 2026-03-31
Light Street Capital B Adding加仓 4.9% 2026-03-31
D1 Capital Partners A Adding加仓 3.4% 2026-03-31
AltaRock Partners C Holding持有 38.2% 2026-03-31
Greenlea Lane Capital B Holding持有 18.9% 2026-03-31
Tiger Global (Coleman) B Holding持有 9.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
AMZN daily MACD crossed upAMZN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $241.70.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$241.70。
Jun 29, 2026
AMZN reclaimed its 200-day averageAMZN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $240.14.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$240.14。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
AMZN weekly MACD crossed downAMZN 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 25, 2026
AMZN lost its 200-day averageAMZN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $227.01.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$227.01。
Jun 25, 2026
AMZN printed a daily-cycle lowAMZN 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $227.01.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$227.01。
Jun 23, 2026
AMZN reclaimed its 200-day averageAMZN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $234.11.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$234.11。
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
AMZN lost its 200-day averageAMZN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $232.79.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$232.79。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.11
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
+1.1
Investment资本投入
-1.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.4

Company Profile公司档案

Amazon.com, Inc. is an American multinational technology company engaged in e-commerce, cloud computing, online advertising, digital streaming, entertainment, and artificial intelligence.Amazon.com,Inc.是一家美国跨国科技公司,从事电子商务、云计算、在线广告、数字流媒体、娱乐和人工智能业务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。