LOW Lowe's · $208.73 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Lowe's · Consumer Disc.

LOW

$208.73
Lowe's Companies, Inc. is an American retail company specializing in home improvement.劳氏公司是一家专注于家装领域的美国零售企业。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $117B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 207.68.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 207.68 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

LOWE'S 200.00 210.00 220.00 230.00 240.00 250.00 208.73 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 6.8MVOL MACD -2.447 MASTERMIND LOWDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$208.73
27.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.0%
Market Cap市值
$117B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.6x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
15.5x
EPS每股收益 $11.86
Beta贝塔
0.66
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.40%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
42
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 LOW S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.4% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -3.9% +0.6% Lagged the index by 4.5 points落后指数 4.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -16.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 21.4 points落后指数 21.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -24.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 31.9 points落后指数 31.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -14.7% +9.1% Lagged the index by 23.8 points落后指数 23.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -2.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 22.0 points落后指数 22.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -3.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 73.1 points落后指数 73.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +17.0% +83.9% Lagged the index by 66.9 points落后指数 66.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (35)Short-term Falling Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Strong 1-Day Move Flag
RSI (14)RSI(14) 42 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -12.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 16 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$203.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$208.70
Stop止损
$207.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 LOW Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 17.60x 20.23
60%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 15.5x
P/S市销率 1.36x 1.23
46%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.68% 4.53
65%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 6.53% 5.69
60%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.43% 4.31
27%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 12.63x 11.48
39%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 15.30x 16.53
56%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$89.6B
2020
$96.2B
2021
$97.1B
2022
$86.4B
2023
$83.7B
2024
$86.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$7.75
2020
$12.04
2021
$10.17
2022
$13.20
2023
$12.23
2024
$11.85
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$9.3B
2020
$8.3B
2021
$6.8B
2022
$6.2B
2023
$7.7B
2024
$7.7B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
33.5%
Operating margin营业利润率
11.8%
Net margin净利率
7.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.4%
-67.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.15
Current ratio流动比率1.08
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$211.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$247.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 51% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 51% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.66×
0.2
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
2.40%
Pays a dividend (2.40% yield)有分红(收益率 2.40%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 LOW broke down vs the marketLOW 相对市场走弱

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.20%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.92%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Put wall看跌密集区
$200
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$224
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Flow资金流向

$6M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 23 fresh positions; P/C 1.05; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +18,534); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M;0DTE占0%;23个新建仓;看跌看涨比 1.05;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +18,534);≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.1M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$7.1M 净值(1 买家,2 卖家)
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点);上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
LOW broke down vs the marketLOW 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $208.73.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$208.73。
Jul 16, 2026
LOW StochRSI turned up from oversoldLOW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $216.16.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$216.16。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
LOW daily MACD crossed downLOW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $213.00.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$213.00。
Jul 8, 2026
LOW broke down vs the marketLOW 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $212.85.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$212.85。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.08
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
+1.2
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
-1.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7

Company Profile公司档案

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is an American retail company specializing in home improvement.劳氏公司是一家专注于家装领域的美国零售企业。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。