Home Depot (The) · Consumer Disc.
HD
$338.87
The Home Depot, Inc. is an American multinational home improvement retail corporation which sells tools, construction products, appliances, and services including fuel and transportation rentals.家得宝公司是一家美国跨国家居装修零售企业，销售工具、建筑产品、家电以及包括燃料和运输租赁在内的服务。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mega cap超大盘
$338B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$338.87
18.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.3%
Market Cap市值
$338B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.8x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
21.1x
EPS每股收益 $14.22
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.75%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.3% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.9 points跑赢指数 2.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.0 points落后指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -9.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 17.4 points落后指数 17.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -0.6% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.7 points落后指数 9.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -3.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 22.5 points落后指数 22.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +15.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 54.0 points落后指数 54.0 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +19.4% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 64.5 points落后指数 64.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (21)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$331.75
Don't chase above不追高于
$338.90
Stop止损
$324.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +6.3% (20d)财报后漂移：+6.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.84x | 20.23 | 36% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 21.1x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 26.34x | 2.97 | 2% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.05x | 1.23 | 30% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.20% | 4.53 | 44% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.75% | 5.69 | 32% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.71% | 4.31 | 33% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.80x | 11.48 | 26% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 26.69x | 16.53 | 27% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
110.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.97 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.06 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $522.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 25% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 25% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
2.75%
Pays a dividend (2.75% yield)有分红（收益率 2.75%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
HD lost its 200-day averageHD 跌破200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.85%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.13%
Call wall看涨密集区
$360
Put wall看跌密集区
$320
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$331
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.7%
Flow资金流向
$7M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 30 fresh positions; P/C 0.54; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $7M；0DTE占0%；30个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.54；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$3.4M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
HD lost its 200-day averageHD 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $338.87.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$338.87。
Jul 16, 2026
HD reclaimed its 200-day averageHD 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $348.02.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$348.02。
Jul 8, 2026
HD daily MACD crossed downHD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $336.21.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$336.21。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
HD lost its 200-day averageHD 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $345.21.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$345.21。
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
HD reclaimed its 200-day averageHD 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $357.90.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$357.90。
Jul 2, 2026
HD RSI reached overboughtHD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $357.90.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$357.90。
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
HD lost its 200-day averageHD 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $350.84.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$350.84。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.24
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
+1.2
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
The Home Depot, Inc. is an American multinational home improvement retail corporation which sells tools, construction products, appliances, and services including fuel and transportation rentals.家得宝公司是一家美国跨国家居装修零售企业，销售工具、建筑产品、家电以及包括燃料和运输租赁在内的服务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。