Starbucks · Consumer Disc.
SBUX
$105.49
Starbucks Corporation is an American multinational chain of coffeehouses and roastery reserves headquartered in Seattle, Washington. It was founded in 1971 by Jerry Baldwin, Zev Siegl, and Gordon Bowker at Seattle's Pike Place Market initially as a coffee bean wholesaler.星巴克公司是一家美国跨国连锁咖啡店和烘焙工坊企业，总部位于华盛顿州西雅图。它由杰瑞·鲍德温、泽夫·西格尔和戈登·鲍克于1971年在西雅图派克市场创立，最初是一家咖啡豆批发商。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$120B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$105.49
2.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.7%
Market Cap市值
$120B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
64.6x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
35.1x
EPS每股收益 $1.63
Beta贝塔
0.63
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.35%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
25th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SBUX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.1 points跑赢指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +6.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 1.4 points跑赢指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +14.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +27.2% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 18.1 points跑赢指数 18.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +16.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.2 points落后指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +12.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 56.5 points落后指数 56.5 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | -0.2% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 84.1 points落后指数 84.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+2.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+13.4% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
25th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$104.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$105.50
Stop止损
$99.82
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 16 analysts预期上调 — 16 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -7.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-7.8%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SBUX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 64.60x | 20.23 | 5% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 35.1x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 3.23x | 1.23 | 14% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.55% | 4.53 | 16% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.04% | 5.69 | 16% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 4.31 | 3% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 28.20x | 11.48 | 6% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 49.11x | 16.53 | 9% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-22.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.73 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.72 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $318.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 10% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 10% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.63×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
2.35%
Pays a dividend (2.35% yield)有分红（收益率 2.35%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SBUX made a new 52-week highSBUX 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.42%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.40%
Call wall看涨密集区
$110
Put wall看跌密集区
$100
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$94
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.2%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.5M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)+$0.5M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 3.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
SBUX made a new 52-week highSBUX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $108.37.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$108.37。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
SBUX made a new 52-week highSBUX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $107.34.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$107.34。
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3038 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Starbucks Corporation is an American multinational chain of coffeehouses and roastery reserves headquartered in Seattle, Washington. It was founded in 1971 by Jerry Baldwin, Zev Siegl, and Gordon Bowker at Seattle's Pike Place Market initially as a coffee bean wholesaler.星巴克公司是一家美国跨国连锁咖啡店和烘焙工坊企业，总部位于华盛顿州西雅图。它由杰瑞·鲍德温、泽夫·西格尔和戈登·鲍克于1971年在西雅图派克市场创立，最初是一家咖啡豆批发商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
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