Marriott International · Consumer Disc.
MAR
$366.24
Marriott International, Inc. is an American multinational company that operates, franchises, and licenses lodging brands that include hotel, residential, and timeshare properties.万豪国际集团是一家美国跨国公司，经营、特许经营和授权包括酒店、住宅和分时度假物业在内的住宿品牌。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$97B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$366.24
9.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.0%
Market Cap市值
$97B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
37.4x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
28.0x
EPS每股收益 $9.78
Beta贝塔
0.89
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.80%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
34th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MAR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -7.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +17.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 8.2 points跑赢指数 8.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +36.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 16.6 points跑赢指数 16.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +94.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 25.2 points跑赢指数 25.2 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +182.3% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 98.4 points跑赢指数 98.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)RSI-14 Oversold EntryRSI-21 Oversold EntryLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-2.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.4% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
34th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$359.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$366.20
Stop止损
$362.90
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MAR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 37.44x | 20.23 | 13% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 28.0x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 3.72x | 1.23 | 9% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.67% | 4.53 | 22% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.68% | 5.69 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.13% | 4.31 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 22.64x | 11.48 | 12% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 37.34x | 16.53 | 15% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-69.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.43 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $3.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $236.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 14% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 14% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.89×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
0.80%
Pays a dividend (0.80% yield)有分红（收益率 0.80%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -13.7%空头仓位变动 -13.7%
Technical技术面
MAR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMAR StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.04%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.57%
Call wall看涨密集区
$400
Put wall看跌密集区
$350
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.8%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 2.12; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；11个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.12；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$59.9M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$59.9M 净值（0 买家，10 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 16, 2026
MAR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMAR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $371.14.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$371.14。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
MAR weekly MACD crossed downMAR 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
MAR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMAR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $380.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$380.75。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 22, 2026
MAR daily MACD crossed downMAR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $384.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$384.19。
Jun 17, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.14
Value价值
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Marriott International, Inc. is an American multinational company that operates, franchises, and licenses lodging brands that include hotel, residential, and timeshare properties.万豪国际集团是一家美国跨国公司，经营、特许经营和授权包括酒店、住宅和分时度假物业在内的住宿品牌。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。