Ross Stores · Consumer Disc.
ROST
$233.46
Ross Stores, Inc., operating under the brand name Ross Dress for Less, is an American chain of discount department stores headquartered in Dublin, California.RossStores,Inc.以品牌名RossDressforLess运营，是一家美国折扣百货连锁店，总部位于加利福尼亚州都柏林。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$75B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先（参考）
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$233.46
2.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.8%
Market Cap市值
$75B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.1x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
27.3x
EPS每股收益 $6.65
Beta贝塔
0.67
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.76%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ROST | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.1% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +21.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 14.1 points跑赢指数 14.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +28.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 19.2 points跑赢指数 19.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +80.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 61.1 points跑赢指数 61.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +115.0% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 45.6 points跑赢指数 45.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +106.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 22.6 points跑赢指数 22.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+18.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$221.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$233.50
Stop止损
$208.80
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 16 analysts预期上调 — 16 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ROST | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 35.08x | 20.23 | 17% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 27.3x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 12.16x | 2.97 | 12% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.31x | 1.23 | 12% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.85% | 4.53 | 26% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.93% | 5.69 | 26% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.10% | 4.31 | 24% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 22.44x | 11.48 | 14% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 34.09x | 16.53 | 20% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 94.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
34.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.96 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.58 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.1B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $175.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 16% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 16% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.67×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.76%
Pays a dividend (0.76% yield)有分红（收益率 0.76%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ROST daily MACD crossed upROST 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.09%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.68%
Call wall看涨密集区
$240
Put wall看跌密集区
$210
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$220
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 24 fresh positions; P/C 0.51; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI -6,734); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；24个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.51；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI -6,734）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.2M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$11.2M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 13, 2026
ROST daily MACD crossed upROST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $219.46.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$219.46。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
ROST StochRSI turned up from oversoldROST StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $214.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$214.67。
Jun 30, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
ROST printed a daily-cycle lowROST 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $208.83.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$208.83。
Jun 29, 2026
ROST broke down vs the marketROST 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $208.83.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$208.83。
Jun 26, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 23, 2026
ROST daily MACD crossed downROST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $229.05.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$229.05。
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.15
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Ross Stores, Inc., operating under the brand name Ross Dress for Less, is an American chain of discount department stores headquartered in Dublin, California.RossStores,Inc.以品牌名RossDressforLess运营，是一家美国折扣百货连锁店，总部位于加利福尼亚州都柏林。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。