Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Disc.
HLT
$321.32
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is an American multinational hospitality company that manages and franchises a broad portfolio of hotels, resorts, and timeshare properties.希尔顿全球控股公司是一家美国跨国酒店管理公司，管理和特许经营广泛的酒店、度假村和分时度假物业。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$74B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$321.32
8.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.3%
Market Cap市值
$74B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
50.8x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
30.8x
EPS每股收益 $6.32
Beta贝塔
0.75
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.19%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
45th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HLT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.2% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -8.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 8.6 points落后指数 8.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 10.4 points落后指数 10.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.9% | +7.8% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.8% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +116.0% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 46.6 points跑赢指数 46.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +171.9% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 88.0 points跑赢指数 88.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (100)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+6.2% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
45th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$315.75
Don't chase above不追高于
$321.30
Stop止损
$321.30
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HLT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 50.82x | 20.23 | 8% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 30.8x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 6.15x | 1.23 | 3% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.97% | 4.53 | 18% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.74% | 5.69 | 22% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.30% | 4.31 | 50% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 25.48x | 11.48 | 9% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 36.51x | 16.53 | 16% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-27.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.32 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.66 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $3.2B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $170.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 10% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 10% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.75×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.19%
Pays a dividend (0.19% yield)有分红（收益率 0.19%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -18.4%空头仓位变动 -18.4%
Technical技术面
HLT broke down vs the marketHLT 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.97%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.41%
Call wall看涨密集区
$350
Put wall看跌密集区
$310
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.8%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 10 fresh positions; P/C 1.64; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；10个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.64；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$36.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$36.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone Pine Capital | B | Adding加仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| AltaRock Partners | C | trimtrim | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Pershing Square (Ackman) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 16, 2026
HLT broke down vs the marketHLT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $323.20.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$323.20。
Jul 16, 2026
HLT StochRSI turned up from oversoldHLT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $323.20.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$323.20。
Jul 13, 2026
HLT broke down vs the marketHLT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $322.45.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$322.45。
Jul 10, 2026
HLT weekly MACD crossed downHLT 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
HLT StochRSI turned up from oversoldHLT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $339.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$339.41。
Jun 23, 2026
HLT daily MACD crossed downHLT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $343.83.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$343.83。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is an American multinational hospitality company that manages and franchises a broad portfolio of hotels, resorts, and timeshare properties.希尔顿全球控股公司是一家美国跨国酒店管理公司，管理和特许经营广泛的酒店、度假村和分时度假物业。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。