ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive
·
$86.05
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Disc.
ORLY
$86.05
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., doing business as O'Reilly Auto Parts, is an American automotive part retailer that provides automotive parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories to professional service providers and do-it-yourself customers.奥莱利汽车配件公司（O'ReillyAutomotive,Inc.）以O'ReillyAutoParts名义运营，是美国汽车零配件零售商，为专业维修商和自助车主提供汽车配件、工具、耗材、设备及附件。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$72B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$86.05
20.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.2%
Market Cap市值
$72B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.5x
20.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
23.8x
EPS每股收益 $3.01
Beta贝塔
-0.01
Moves about -0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
100th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ORLY | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.2 points跑赢指数 1.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -8.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.9 points落后指数 12.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -9.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 13.8 points落后指数 13.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -6.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 25.4 points落后指数 25.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +34.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 35.3 points落后指数 35.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +114.7% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 30.8 points跑赢指数 30.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Downtrend State
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-8.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
100th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$85.53
Don't chase above不追高于
$86.05
Stop止损
$82.73
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ORLY | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 28.54x | 20.23 | 28% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 23.8x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 4.07x | 1.23 | 6% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.50% | 4.53 | 36% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.20% | 5.69 | 17% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.89% | 4.31 | 35% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.71x | 11.48 | 16% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 45.47x | 16.53 | 10% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -33.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-332.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
15.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.47 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.1B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $35.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 17% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 17% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.01×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ORLY made a new 52-week lowORLY 创52周新低
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.52%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.62%
Call wall看涨密集区
$95
Put wall看跌密集区
$85
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$78
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.8%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 7 fresh positions; P/C 0.89; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；7个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.89；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$1.4M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | trimtrim | 5.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
ORLY made a new 52-week lowORLY 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $82.73.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$82.73。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 14, 2026
ORLY broke down vs the marketORLY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $85.75.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$85.75。
Jul 10, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
ORLY daily MACD crossed downORLY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$86.65。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
ORLY broke down vs the marketORLY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $84.24.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$84.24。
Jul 6, 2026
ORLY made a new 52-week lowORLY 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $84.24.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$84.24。
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 2905 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.01
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
+1.4
Quality质量
-0.9
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., doing business as O'Reilly Auto Parts, is an American automotive part retailer that provides automotive parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories to professional service providers and do-it-yourself customers.奥莱利汽车配件公司（O'ReillyAutomotive,Inc.）以O'ReillyAutoParts名义运营，是美国汽车零配件零售商，为专业维修商和自助车主提供汽车配件、工具、耗材、设备及附件。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。