EAT Brinker International, Inc. · $189.35 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Brinker International, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

EAT

$189.35
Brinker International, Inc. is an American multinational hospitality industry company that owns Chili's and Maggiano's Little Italy restaurant chains.布林克国际公司(BrinkerInternational,Inc.)是一家美国跨国酒店业公司,旗下拥有Chili's和Maggiano'sLittleItaly餐饮连锁品牌。
Cyclical周期股 Mid cap中盘 $8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~21 day(s) ago @ 153.55 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 21 天前形成 @ 153.55,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$189.35
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.81
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
68
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-12 (24d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
17th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
12.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 EAT S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +19.2% +0.6% Beat the index by 18.6 points跑赢指数 18.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +19.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 15.0 points跑赢指数 15.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +20.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 12.3 points跑赢指数 12.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +25.0% +9.1% Beat the index by 15.9 points跑赢指数 15.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +14.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +391.9% +69.4% Beat the index by 322.5 points跑赢指数 322.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 68 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +21.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +30.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 17th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$186.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$191.70
Stop止损
$153.60
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

24
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-12

Estimates being raised — 17 analysts预期上调 — 17 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 EAT Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 21.72x 2.97
4%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.02% 5.69
45%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 11.47x 11.48
50%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 19.91x 16.53
40%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$3.1B
2020
$3.3B
2021
$3.8B
2022
$4.1B
2023
$4.4B
2024
$5.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.63
2020
$2.83
2021
$2.58
2022
$2.28
2023
$3.40
2024
$8.32
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 67.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$140.5M
2020
$275.7M
2021
$101.9M
2022
$71.4M
2023
$223.0M
2024
$413.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
9.5%
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.03
Current ratio流动比率0.31
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$90.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$31.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-2.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.7) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 33% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 33% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.81×
0.2
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 EAT made a new 52-week highEAT 创52周新高

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.8M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$16.8M 净值(0 买家,10 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 21 day(s) ago (2026-06-16 @ 153.55): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 21 天前形成 (2026-06-16 @ 153.55):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
EAT made a new 52-week highEAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $189.35.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$189.35。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
EAT made a new 52-week highEAT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $180.63.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$180.63。
Jul 9, 2026
EAT RSI reached overboughtEAT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $180.63.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$180.63。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.96
Value价值
-2.4
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Brinker International, Inc. is an American multinational hospitality industry company that owns Chili's and Maggiano's Little Italy restaurant chains.布林克国际公司(BrinkerInternational,Inc.)是一家美国跨国酒店业公司,旗下拥有Chili's和Maggiano'sLittleItaly餐饮连锁品牌。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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