Lithia Motors · Consumer Disc.
LAD
$335.28
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an American nationwide automotive dealership group headquartered in Medford, Oregon.LithiaMotors,Inc.是一家总部位于俄勒冈州梅德福的美国全国性汽车经销商集团。
Deep value深度价值
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 290.3 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the we日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 290.3，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$335.28
5.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.6%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.6x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.99
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
49th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LAD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.4 points跑赢指数 8.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +14.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 13.8 points跑赢指数 13.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 14.0 points跑赢指数 14.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +1.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 6.4 points落后指数 6.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +1.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +9.8% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 9.6 points落后指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +8.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 60.9 points落后指数 60.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
49th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$331.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$338.60
Stop止损
$290.30
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LAD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.61x | 20.23 | 86% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.19x | 2.97 | 85% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.21x | 1.23 | 95% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.40% | 4.53 | 88% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.07% | 5.69 | 7% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 12.20% | 4.31 | 93% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 3.90x | 11.48 | 96% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 1358.46x | 16.53 | 0% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.20 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.17 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $960.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $60.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -11.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.4)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.99×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LAD RSI reached overboughtLAD RSI进入超买
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
LAD RSI reached overboughtLAD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $331.37.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$331.37。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
LAD took relative-strength leadershipLAD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $311.98.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$311.98。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
LAD daily MACD crossed upLAD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $311.69.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$311.69。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
LAD StochRSI turned up from oversoldLAD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $309.02.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$309.02。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
LAD reclaimed its 200-day averageLAD 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $306.23.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$306.23。
Jul 2, 2026
LAD took relative-strength leadershipLAD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $306.23.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$306.23。
Jul 1, 2026
LAD printed a daily-cycle lowLAD 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $290.30.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$290.30。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.59
Value价值
+2.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.5
Company Profile公司档案
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an American nationwide automotive dealership group headquartered in Medford, Oregon.LithiaMotors,Inc.是一家总部位于俄勒冈州梅德福的美国全国性汽车经销商集团。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。