Gap Inc. · Consumer Disc.
GAP
$20.35
The Gap, Inc., commonly known as Gap Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, is an American multinational clothing and accessories retailer. The company operates four primary divisions: the namesake Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, and Athleta.TheGap,Inc.通常简称GapInc.，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，是一家美国跨国服装及配饰零售商，运营四大主要部门：同名品牌Gap、BananaRepublic、OldNavy和Athleta。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 18.35.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 18.35 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$20.35
29.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.6%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.28
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
46th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GAP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.5 points落后指数 2.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -24.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 29.4 points落后指数 29.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -23.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 31.1 points落后指数 31.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -18.1% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 27.2 points落后指数 27.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +2.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 17.2 points落后指数 17.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +139.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 70.2 points跑赢指数 70.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-15.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
46th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$19.61
Don't chase above不追高于
$20.35
Stop止损
$18.35
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GAP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.28x | 20.23 | 87% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.99x | 2.97 | 61% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.49x | 1.23 | 79% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.78% | 4.53 | 89% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.87% | 5.69 | 84% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.05% | 4.31 | 23% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 4.00x | 11.48 | 95% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 9.20x | 16.53 | 82% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
21.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.70 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.75 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $155.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $162.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 81% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 81% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.28×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +12.9%空头仓位变动 +12.9%
Technical技术面
GAP daily MACD crossed upGAP 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$50.8M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$50.8M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 10, 2026
GAP daily MACD crossed upGAP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $19.46.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$19.46。
Jul 8, 2026
GAP made a new 52-week lowGAP 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $18.35.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$18.35。
Jul 6, 2026
GAP StochRSI turned up from oversoldGAP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $19.19.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$19.19。
Jun 30, 2026
GAP RSI reached oversoldGAP RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $18.51.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$18.51。
Jun 25, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
GAP broke down vs the marketGAP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $20.03.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$20.03。
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → TOPPING下跌趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 22, 2026
GAP daily MACD crossed downGAP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$20.43。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.32
Value价值
+1.1
Profitability盈利能力
+1.0
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
The Gap, Inc., commonly known as Gap Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, is an American multinational clothing and accessories retailer. The company operates four primary divisions: the namesake Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, and Athleta.TheGap,Inc.通常简称GapInc.，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，是一家美国跨国服装及配饰零售商，运营四大主要部门：同名品牌Gap、BananaRepublic、OldNavy和Athleta。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。