Cava Group · Consumer Disc.
CAVA
$68.85
Cava, also referred to as Cava Grill, is an American Mediterranean fast casual restaurant chain with locations across the United States. Cava is owned by the publicly traded Cava Group, which purchased Zoës Kitchen in August 2018.Cava，也称为CavaGrill，是一家美国地中海风味休闲快餐连锁餐厅，在美国各地设有门店。Cava由公开交易的CavaGroup拥有，该集团于2018年8月收购了ZoësKitchen。
Secular growth长期成长
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$68.85
29.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.3%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
125.4x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.46
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-11 (23d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
11.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CAVA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -21.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 22.4 points落后指数 22.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -27.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 32.1 points落后指数 32.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +13.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -20.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 40.1 points落后指数 40.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +34.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 34.5 points落后指数 34.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-11.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-2.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$67.59
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
23
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-11
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: +9.4% (20d)财报后漂移：+9.4%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CAVA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 125.43x | 20.23 | 2% |
| P/B市净率 | 10.25x | 2.97 | 15% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.78x | 1.23 | 2% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.80% | 4.53 | 13% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.33% | 5.69 | 9% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 59.81x | 11.48 | 2% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 305.85x | 16.53 | 1% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 60.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -2.19 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.65 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $15.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 6% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 6% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.46×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CAVA lost its 200-day averageCAVA 跌破200日均线
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.0M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$7.0M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
CAVA lost its 200-day averageCAVA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $69.97.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$69.97。
Jul 13, 2026
CAVA StochRSI turned up from oversoldCAVA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $72.54.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$72.54。
Jul 10, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
CAVA reclaimed its 200-day averageCAVA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $72.18.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$72.18。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
CAVA lost its 200-day averageCAVA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $69.74.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$69.74。
Jul 6, 2026
CAVA broke down vs the marketCAVA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $71.91.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$71.91。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 30, 2026
CAVA daily MACD crossed downCAVA 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $78.48.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$78.48。
Jun 26, 2026
CAVA weekly MACD crossed downCAVA 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 236 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.53
Value价值
-1.0
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-1.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Cava, also referred to as Cava Grill, is an American Mediterranean fast casual restaurant chain with locations across the United States. Cava is owned by the publicly traded Cava Group, which purchased Zoës Kitchen in August 2018.Cava，也称为CavaGrill，是一家美国地中海风味休闲快餐连锁餐厅，在美国各地设有门店。Cava由公开交易的CavaGroup拥有，该集团于2018年8月收购了ZoësKitchen。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。