Broadcom · Tech
AVGO
$370.83
Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mega cap超大盘
$1756B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~13+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 13+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$370.83
22.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.9%
Market Cap市值
$1756B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
19.1x
Beta贝塔
2.16
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.70%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AVGO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 5.8 points落后指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.5% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -8.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 13.5 points落后指数 13.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +6.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 2.2 points落后指数 2.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +30.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 10.8 points跑赢指数 10.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +324.9% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 255.5 points跑赢指数 255.5 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +768.9% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 685.0 points跑赢指数 685.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Downtrend State
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-7.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.2% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
17
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$357.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$370.80
Stop止损
$360.40
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 39 analysts预期上调 — 39 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -12.4% (20d)财报后漂移：-12.4%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AVGO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 19.1x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 27.49x | 4.85 | 2% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.53% | 3.05 | 27% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.77% | 2.16 | 26% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 66.90x | 29.30 | 19% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 65.25x | 30.46 | 20% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -5.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.50 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.71 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.5B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $7.6B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (12.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 16% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 16% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.16×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
0.70%
Pays a dividend (0.70% yield)有分红（收益率 0.70%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +14.1%空头仓位变动 +14.1%
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.34%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.47%
Call wall看涨密集区
$410
Put wall看跌密集区
$350
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$378
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.8%
Flow资金流向
$373M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 227 fresh positions; P/C 0.5; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $373M；0DTE占0%；227个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.5；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$622.3M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$622.3M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | New position新建仓 | 1.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Adding加仓 | 4.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Adding加仓 | 2.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Adding加仓 | 0.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Light Street Capital | B | Holding持有 | 8.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 5.9% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
AVGO daily MACD crossed upAVGO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $388.69.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$388.69。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
AVGO reclaimed its 200-day averageAVGO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $373.90.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$373.90。
Jul 2, 2026
AVGO lost its 200-day averageAVGO 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $360.45.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$360.45。
Jul 2, 2026
AVGO printed a daily-cycle lowAVGO 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $360.45.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$360.45。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
AVGO weekly MACD crossed downAVGO 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1535 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.54
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-0.3
Quality质量
-1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——AI 加速器／算力芯片的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Recent News最新动态
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。