Apple Inc. · Tech
AAPL
$333.74
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷，以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mega cap超大盘
$4907B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 72)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 72））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$333.74
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$4907B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
43.8x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
34.6x
EPS每股收益 $7.62
Beta贝塔
0.84
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.32%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
72
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
98th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AAPL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.3 points跑赢指数 7.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +12.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.2 points跑赢指数 12.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +23.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 18.9 points跑赢指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +30.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 23.0 points跑赢指数 23.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +23.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 14.3 points跑赢指数 14.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +59.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 40.1 points跑赢指数 40.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +74.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +133.9% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 50.0 points跑赢指数 50.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe
RSI (14)RSI（14）
72
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+10.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+21.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
27
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
98th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$312.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$333.70
Stop止损
$275.10
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: +6.8% (20d)财报后漂移：+6.8%（20日）
| Quarter季度 | EPS | Consensus预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $2.01 | $1.92 | +4.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.84 | $2.65 | +7.2% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.85 | $1.73 | +6.9% |
| Jun 2025 | $1.57 | $1.42 | +10.6% |
Average surprise平均超预期: 7.3%
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AAPL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 43.81x | 40.17 | 44% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 34.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 55.64x | 5.85 | 3% |
| P/S市销率 | 11.79x | 4.85 | 15% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.28% | 2.19 | 52% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.01% | 3.05 | 35% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.85% | 2.16 | 45% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 34.28x | 29.30 | 43% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 49.68x | 30.46 | 29% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
127.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
29.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.38 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.89 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $90.7B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $12.9B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (12.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 28% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 28% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.84×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
0.32%
Pays a dividend (0.32% yield)有分红（收益率 0.32%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Magnificent Seven theme — #18 of 46 themes「七巨头」主题 — 46 个主题中第 18 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AAPL RSI reached overboughtAAPL RSI进入超买
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.91%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.26%
Call wall看涨密集区
$350
Put wall看跌密集区
$315
IV rankIV历史分位
93%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.5%
Flow资金流向
$809M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 244 fresh positions; P/C 0.7; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $809M；0DTE占0%；244个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.7；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$58.6M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$58.6M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 2.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 1.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 22.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
AAPL RSI reached overboughtAAPL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $333.26.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$333.26。
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 15, 2026
AAPL made a new 52-week highAAPL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $327.50.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$327.50。
Jul 13, 2026
AAPL made a new 52-week highAAPL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $317.31.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$317.31。
Jul 9, 2026
AAPL made a new 52-week highAAPL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $316.22.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$316.22。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
AAPL took relative-strength leadershipAAPL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $308.63.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$308.63。
Jul 2, 2026
AAPL daily MACD crossed upAAPL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $308.63.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$308.63。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
-1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+1.1
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷，以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Recent News最新动态
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。