AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
·
$495.76
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
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Advanced Micro Devices · Tech
AMD
$495.76
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is an American multinational semiconductor company headquartered in Santa Clara, California.超威半导体公司(AMD)是一家美国跨国半导体公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mega cap超大盘
$808B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$495.76
14.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.7%
Market Cap市值
$808B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
186.4x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
36.8x
EPS每股收益 $2.66
Beta贝塔
3.05
Moves about 3.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AMD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -11.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 9.6 points落后指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +78.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 73.4 points跑赢指数 73.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +113.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 106.0 points跑赢指数 106.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +121.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 112.7 points跑赢指数 112.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +209.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 189.7 points跑赢指数 189.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +320.4% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 251.0 points跑赢指数 251.0 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +477.2% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 393.3 points跑赢指数 393.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Double Top (Short-term)Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI(14)
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+67.1% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX)
19
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$463.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$495.80
Stop止损
$488.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 8 analysts预期上调 — 8 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +26.2% (20d)财报后漂移:+26.2%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AMD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 186.41x | 40.17 | 9% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 36.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 12.83x | 5.85 | 22% |
| P/S市销率 | 23.33x | 4.85 | 5% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.54% | 2.19 | 22% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.83% | 3.05 | 16% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.16% | 2.16 | 13% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 191.17x | 29.30 | 5% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 119.98x | 30.46 | 9% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.55 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.85 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $1.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $1.6B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (35.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 11% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 11% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 3.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道,多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -11.1%空头仓位变动 -11.1%
Technical技术面
AMD took relative-strength leadershipAMD 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.44%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±12.17%
Call wall看涨密集区
$550
Put wall看跌密集区
$480
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$494
IV rankIV历史分位
93%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.2%
Flow资金流向
$770M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 451 fresh positions; P/C 0.76; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $770M;0DTE占0%;451个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.76;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)
Skew: 偏斜:fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$99.8M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$99.8M 净值(0 买家,6 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Light Street Capital | B | Holding持有 | 8.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | trimtrim | 0.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 14, 2026
AMD took relative-strength leadershipAMD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $548.13.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$548.13。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
AMD StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $557.89.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$557.89。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
AMD took relative-strength leadershipAMD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $546.72.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$546.72。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
AMD took relative-strength leadershipAMD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $552.05.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$552.05。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 3514 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.65
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-2.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is an American multinational semiconductor company headquartered in Santa Clara, California.超威半导体公司(AMD)是一家美国跨国半导体公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——AI 加速器/算力芯片的需求来源
Recent News最新动态
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。