MU
Micron Technology
·
$848.95
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
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Micron Technology · Tech
MU
$848.95
Micron Technology, Inc. is an American multinational semiconductor company that manufactures computer memory and computer data storage products, including dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), flash memory, High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and solid-state drives (SSDs).美光科技公司是一家美国跨国半导体公司，生产计算机内存和计算机数据存储产品，包括动态随机存取存储器、闪存、高带宽内存和固态硬盘。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Mega cap超大盘
$956B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$848.95
30.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 30.0%
Market Cap市值
$956B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
112.0x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
5.6x
EPS每股收益 $7.58
Beta贝塔
3.23
Moves about 3.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.06%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-24 (-25d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MU | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -13.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 11.8 points落后指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -18.6% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 19.2 points落后指数 19.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +86.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 81.9 points跑赢指数 81.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +134.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 126.3 points跑赢指数 126.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +169.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 160.2 points跑赢指数 160.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +650.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 631.2 points跑赢指数 631.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +1221.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 1152.3 points跑赢指数 1152.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +1060.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 976.6 points跑赢指数 976.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-9.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+75.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$799.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$849.00
Stop止损
$849.00
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 30 analysts预期上调 — 30 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -31.3% (20d)财报后漂移：-31.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MU | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 111.95x | 40.17 | 14% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 5.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 16.26x | 5.85 | 18% |
| P/S市销率 | 25.57x | 4.85 | 4% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.89% | 2.19 | 27% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.17% | 3.05 | 10% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.05% | 2.16 | 9% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 52.88x | 29.30 | 29% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 573.09x | 30.46 | 1% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 26.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
14.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.14 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.52 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $972.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (21.9)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 15% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 15% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.23×
0.21×3×
Moves about 3.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
0.06%
Pays a dividend (0.06% yield)有分红（收益率 0.06%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -23.9%空头仓位变动 -23.9%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.41%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±14.33%
Call wall看涨密集区
$910
Put wall看跌密集区
$800
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.1%
Flow资金流向
$3.2B premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 645 fresh positions; P/C 1.1; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +138,183); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $3.2B；0DTE占0%；645个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.1；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +138,183）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$103.8M net (1 buyers, 9 sellers)-$103.8M 净值（1 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Holding持有 | 9.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
MU daily MACD crossed downMU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,145.10.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,145.10。
Jun 25, 2026
MU made a new 52-week highMU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,213.37.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,213.37。
Jun 25, 2026
MU daily MACD crossed upMU 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,213.37.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,213.37。
Jun 24, 2026
MU daily MACD crossed downMU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,048.35.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,048.35。
Jun 18, 2026
MU made a new 52-week highMU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,133.82.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,133.82。
Jun 18, 2026
MU daily MACD crossed upMU 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,133.82.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,133.82。
Jun 15, 2026
MU made a new 52-week highMU 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,087.82.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,087.82。
Jun 15, 2026
MU StochRSI turned up from oversoldMU StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $1,087.82.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$1,087.82。
Jun 11, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3469 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.85
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
-0.7
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-2.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-3.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Micron Technology, Inc. is an American multinational semiconductor company that manufactures computer memory and computer data storage products, including dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), flash memory, High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and solid-state drives (SSDs).美光科技公司是一家美国跨国半导体公司，生产计算机内存和计算机数据存储产品，包括动态随机存取存储器、闪存、高带宽内存和固态硬盘。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI infrastructure (compute, memory, networking)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——AI 基础设施（算力／内存／网络）的需求来源
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。