INTC Intel · $95.04 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Intel · Tech

INTC

$95.04

Intel Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Santa Clara, California. It designs, manufactures, and sells computer components such as central processing units (CPUs) and related products for business and consumer markets.IntelCorporation是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。公司设计、制造和销售计算机组件，如中央处理器（CPU）及相关产品，服务于企业和消费市场。

Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Mega cap超大盘 $475B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$95.04

32.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.6%

Market Cap市值

$475B

Normal volume正常成交量

Forward P/E预测市盈率

58.9x

EPS每股收益 $-0.05

Beta贝塔

2.64

Moves about 2.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.6 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Depressed偏低

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-07-23 (4d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

67th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

2.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	INTC	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-13.5%	-1.5%	Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-21.5%	+0.6%	Lagged the index by 22.1 points落后指数 22.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+38.7%	+4.7%	Beat the index by 34.0 points跑赢指数 34.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+102.4%	+7.8%	Beat the index by 94.6 points跑赢指数 94.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+141.3%	+9.1%	Beat the index by 132.2 points跑赢指数 132.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+316.8%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 297.4 points跑赢指数 297.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+181.1%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 111.7 points跑赢指数 111.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+88.9%	+83.9%	Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralBollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 36 Depressed偏低

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -19.0% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +48.1% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 21 Trending趋势中

Volatility rank波动率分位 67th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Stop止损

$95.04

Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-07-23

Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: +39.8% (20d)财报后漂移：+39.8%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	INTC	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	58.9x	—	—
P/B市净率	4.15x	5.85	59%
P/S市销率	8.98x	4.85	25%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	-0.06%	2.19	13%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	-1.04%	3.05	2%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	0.00%	2.16	3%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	59.34x	29.30	23%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$77.9B

2020

$79.0B

2021

$63.1B

2022

$54.2B

2023

$53.1B

2024

$52.9B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -7.5%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$4.94

2020

$4.86

2021

$1.94

2022

$0.40

2023

$-4.38

2024

$-0.06

2025

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$21.1B

2020

$11.3B

2021

-$9.4B

2022

-$14.3B

2023

-$15.7B

2024

-$4.9B

2025

Margins利润率

Gross margin毛利率

34.8%

Operating margin营业利润率

-4.2%

Net margin净利率

-0.5%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

18.3%

-0.2%Return on Equity股本回报率

-0.1%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	3.78
Current ratio流动比率	2.02

Capital Allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$2.4B
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	+15.3%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.6) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵

Cheaper than 27% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 27% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

2.64×

0.21×3×

Moves about 2.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.6 倍

Financial Health财务健康

6/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -11.2%空头仓位变动 -11.2%

Technical技术面 INTC weekly MACD crossed downINTC 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动

±6.31%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±14.10%

Call wall看涨密集区

$98

Put wall看跌密集区

$90

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$101

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-2.8%

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.7M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.7M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller)	C	New position新建仓	0.5%	2026-03-31
Tiger Global (Coleman)	B	New position新建仓	0.3%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势

AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）

DECLINE DOWNTREND

Jul 17, 2026

INTC weekly MACD crossed downINTC 周线MACD下穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jul 15, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 13, 2026

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Jul 1, 2026

UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中