TE Connectivity · Tech
TEL
$203.31
TE Connectivity plc is an American-Irish domiciled technology company that designs and manufactures electrical and electronic components. It serves several industries, including automotive, aerospace, defense, medical, and energy.TEConnectivityplc是一家在爱尔兰注册的美国科技公司，设计并制造电气和电子元件，服务于汽车、航空航天、国防、医疗和能源等多个行业。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$60B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 196.24.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 196.24 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$203.31
17.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.8%
Market Cap市值
$60B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
32.4x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.62
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
32th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TEL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.8 points落后指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 21.8 points落后指数 21.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -15.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 22.9 points落后指数 22.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -12.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +15.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-7.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
32th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$200.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$203.30
Stop止损
$196.20
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -11.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-11.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | TEL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 32.39x | 40.17 | 58% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.46x | 4.85 | 62% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.09% | 2.19 | 64% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.37% | 3.05 | 72% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.60% | 2.16 | 72% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.83x | 29.30 | 73% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 18.63x | 30.46 | 69% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
7.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.10 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.56 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $149.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.62×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TEL daily MACD crossed upTEL 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.26%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.28%
Call wall看涨密集区
$220
Put wall看跌密集区
$190
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$193
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.7%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 2 fresh positions; P/C 0.81; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +669); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；2个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.81；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +669）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$46.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$46.4M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 14, 2026
TEL daily MACD crossed upTEL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $200.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$200.98。
Jul 10, 2026
TEL StochRSI turned up from oversoldTEL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $200.36.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$200.36。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 101 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.05
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+1.2
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
TE Connectivity plc is an American-Irish domiciled technology company that designs and manufactures electrical and electronic components. It serves several industries, including automotive, aerospace, defense, medical, and energy.TEConnectivityplc是一家在爱尔兰注册的美国科技公司，设计并制造电气和电子元件，服务于汽车、航空航天、国防、医疗和能源等多个行业。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。