HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
·
$45.82
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Tech
HPE
$45.82
The Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is an American multinational information technology company based in Spring, Texas. It is a business-focused organization which works in servers, storage, networking, AI, containerization software and consulting and support.慧与公司（HPE）是一家美国跨国信息技术公司，总部位于德克萨斯州斯普林。它是一家专注于业务的组织，业务涵盖服务器、存储、网络、人工智能、容器化软件以及咨询和支持。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$61B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~13+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 13+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.82
18.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.2%
Market Cap市值
$61B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
1068.3x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.89
Moves about 1.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
91th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HPE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 4.1 points落后指数 4.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 5.5 points落后指数 5.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +73.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 68.6 points跑赢指数 68.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +115.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 107.3 points跑赢指数 107.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +90.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 81.7 points跑赢指数 81.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +123.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 104.5 points跑赢指数 104.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+62.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
91th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$43.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.82
Stop止损
$41.23
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 17 analysts预期上调 — 17 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -18.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-18.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HPE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 1068.27x | 40.17 | 2% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.46x | 5.85 | 78% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.78x | 4.85 | 79% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.09% | 2.19 | 16% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.03% | 3.05 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.46% | 2.16 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 35.07x | 29.30 | 42% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 97.12x | 30.46 | 13% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
0.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 8.60 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.01 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $202.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $643.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.1)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 44% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 44% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.89×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -11.0%空头仓位变动 -11.0%
Technical技术面
HPE daily MACD crossed downHPE 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.80%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.73%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$45
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.7%
Flow资金流向
$11M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 34 fresh positions; P/C 0.3; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $11M；0DTE占0%；34个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.3；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$24.6M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$24.6M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Investment Management | C | Adding加仓 | 3.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
HPE daily MACD crossed downHPE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $47.39.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$47.39。
Jul 14, 2026
HPE took relative-strength leadershipHPE 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $49.56.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$49.56。
Jul 14, 2026
HPE daily MACD crossed upHPE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $49.56.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$49.56。
Jul 9, 2026
HPE took relative-strength leadershipHPE 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $49.11.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$49.11。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
HPE StochRSI turned up from oversoldHPE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $44.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$44.67。
Jul 2, 2026
HPE printed a daily-cycle lowHPE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $41.23.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$41.23。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 22, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
HPE took relative-strength leadershipHPE 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $48.40.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$48.40。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 105 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.35
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
The Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is an American multinational information technology company based in Spring, Texas. It is a business-focused organization which works in servers, storage, networking, AI, containerization software and consulting and support.慧与公司（HPE）是一家美国跨国信息技术公司，总部位于德克萨斯州斯普林。它是一家专注于业务的组织，业务涵盖服务器、存储、网络、人工智能、容器化软件以及咨询和支持。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。