Monolithic Power Systems · Tech
MPWR
$1312.00
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. is an American, publicly traded company headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida.芯源系统有限公司是一家美国上市公司，总部位于佛罗里达州西棕榈滩。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$64B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$1312.00
22.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 22.2%
Market Cap市值
$64B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
102.8x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.54
Moves about 2.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MPWR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.0% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.5 points落后指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -9.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 9.9 points落后指数 9.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -10.6% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 15.3 points落后指数 15.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +27.2% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 19.4 points跑赢指数 19.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +40.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 31.3 points跑赢指数 31.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +84.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 65.5 points跑赢指数 65.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-12.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$1272.80
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 15 analysts预期上调 — 15 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -5.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.8%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MPWR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 102.83x | 40.17 | 15% |
| P/B市净率 | 18.10x | 5.85 | 15% |
| P/S市销率 | 22.90x | 4.85 | 6% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.97% | 2.19 | 27% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.04% | 3.05 | 21% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.01% | 2.16 | 6% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 80.40x | 29.30 | 18% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 95.93x | 30.46 | 14% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 29.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
14.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.41 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 5.91 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $6.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $227.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (60.5)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 15% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 15% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.54×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.73%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±12.82%
Call wall看涨密集区
$1400
Put wall看跌密集区
$1200
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.1%
Flow资金流向
$8M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 1.51; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $8M；0DTE占0%；11个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.51；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$467.8M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$467.8M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
MPWR daily MACD crossed upMPWR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,376.41.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,376.41。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
MPWR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMPWR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $1,315.51.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$1,315.51。
Jun 26, 2026
MPWR weekly MACD crossed downMPWR 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 22, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
MPWR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMPWR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $1,535.54.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$1,535.54。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 97 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.54
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. is an American, publicly traded company headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida.芯源系统有限公司是一家美国上市公司，总部位于佛罗里达州西棕榈滩。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——AI 加速器／算力芯片的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。