Keysight Technologies · Tech
KEYS
$315.90
Keysight Technologies, Inc. is a global company headquartered in Santa Rosa, CA, that manufactures hardware and software for engineering workflows across design, test, and emulation.KeysightTechnologies,Inc.（是德科技公司）是一家全球性公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣罗莎，为设计、测试和仿真领域的工程工作流程制造硬件和软件。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$54B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$315.90
15.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.4%
Market Cap市值
$54B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
63.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.83
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | KEYS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -9.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 10.5 points落后指数 10.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 10.2 points落后指数 10.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +47.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 39.7 points跑赢指数 39.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +52.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 43.8 points跑赢指数 43.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +93.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 74.3 points跑赢指数 74.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-7.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+20.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$309.10
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 13 analysts预期上调 — 13 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | KEYS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 63.86x | 40.17 | 31% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.75x | 5.85 | 31% |
| P/S市销率 | 10.10x | 4.85 | 21% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.57% | 2.19 | 41% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.36% | 3.05 | 41% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.69% | 2.16 | 23% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 54.56x | 29.30 | 27% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 42.37x | 30.46 | 36% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.66 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.35 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $375.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $162.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.83×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
KEYS broke down vs the marketKEYS 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.74%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.35%
Call wall看涨密集区
$320
Put wall看跌密集区
$290
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$319
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.9%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$27.4M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$27.4M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 3.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
KEYS broke down vs the marketKEYS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $312.76.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$312.76。
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
KEYS StochRSI turned up from oversoldKEYS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $320.83.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$320.83。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 2, 2026
KEYS broke down vs the marketKEYS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $313.86.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$313.86。
Jul 1, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
KEYS weekly MACD crossed downKEYS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 26, 2026
KEYS daily MACD crossed downKEYS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $328.66.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$328.66。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.52
Value价值
-0.9
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Keysight Technologies, Inc. is a global company headquartered in Santa Rosa, CA, that manufactures hardware and software for engineering workflows across design, test, and emulation.KeysightTechnologies,Inc.（是德科技公司）是一家全球性公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣罗莎，为设计、测试和仿真领域的工程工作流程制造硬件和软件。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。