RSG Republic Services · $222.31 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Republic Services · Industrials

RSG

$222.31
Republic Services, Inc. is a North American waste disposal company whose services include non-hazardous solid waste collection, waste transfer, waste disposal, recycling, and energy services.RepublicServices,Inc.是一家北美废物处理公司,服务包括非危险固体废物收集、废物转运、废物处置、回收和能源服务。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $69B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$222.31
8.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.9%
Market Cap市值
$69B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
32.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.31
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
97th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 RSG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.9 points跑赢指数 2.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 6.9 points跑赢指数 6.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +7.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 2.1 points落后指数 2.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +6.1% +9.1% Lagged the index by 3.0 points落后指数 3.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -6.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 26.0 points落后指数 26.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +3.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 97th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$218.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$222.30
Stop止损
$203.80
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 RSG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 32.09x 29.89
46%
P/B市净率 5.74x 3.90
33%
P/S市销率 3.61x 2.21
30%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.12% 3.10
51%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.51% 3.81
45%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.34% 2.29
51%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.08x 16.39
51%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 28.50x 25.50
40%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$12.0B
2020
$13.3B
2021
$15.6B
2022
$17.3B
2023
$18.4B
2024
$19.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.02
2020
$4.04
2021
$4.69
2022
$5.47
2023
$6.49
2024
$6.85
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.3B
2020
$1.5B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$2.0B
2023
$2.1B
2024
$2.4B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
17.4%
Net margin净利率
11.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
22.6%
17.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.66
Current ratio流动比率0.64
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$870.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$42.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 41% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 41% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.31×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.52%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.41%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Put wall看跌密集区
$220
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$226
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.7%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.1M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.1M 净值(1 买家,0 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 203.77) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 18 天前形成 @ 203.77)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
RSG reclaimed its 200-day averageRSG 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $217.34.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$217.34。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 106 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Republic Services, Inc. is a North American waste disposal company whose services include non-hazardous solid waste collection, waste transfer, waste disposal, recycling, and energy services.RepublicServices,Inc.是一家北美废物处理公司,服务包括非危险固体废物收集、废物转运、废物处置、回收和能源服务。
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