FedEx · Industrials
FDX
$312.98
FedEx Corporation, originally known as Federal Express Corporation, is an American multinational conglomerate holding company specializing in transportation, e-commerce, and business services. The company is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.FedExCorporation（原名FederalExpressCorporation）是一家美国跨国多元化控股公司，专注于运输、电子商务和商业服务，总部位于田纳西州孟菲斯。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$74B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 309.76.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 309.76 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$312.98
7.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.3%
Market Cap市值
$74B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.98
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-06-23 (-26d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
68th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FDX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.6% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.2 points落后指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -1.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +26.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 18.7 points跑赢指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +33.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 23.9 points跑赢指数 23.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +72.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 53.3 points跑赢指数 53.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
68th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$308.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$313.00
Stop止损
$309.80
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FDX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 2.62x | 3.90 | 72% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.05% | 3.81 | 56% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.28x | 16.39 | 84% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 24.69x | 25.50 | 52% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.52 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.19 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $3.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $154.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 71% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 71% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.98×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +14.5%空头仓位变动 +14.5%
Technical技术面
FDX StochRSI turned up from oversoldFDX StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.08%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.64%
Call wall看涨密集区
$330
Put wall看跌密集区
$310
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$315
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.2%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 1.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 2.7% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
FDX StochRSI turned up from oversoldFDX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $313.74.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$313.74。
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
FDX broke down vs the marketFDX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $309.93.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$309.93。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 103 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
FedEx Corporation, originally known as Federal Express Corporation, is an American multinational conglomerate holding company specializing in transportation, e-commerce, and business services. The company is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.FedExCorporation（原名FederalExpressCorporation）是一家美国跨国多元化控股公司，专注于运输、电子商务和商业服务，总部位于田纳西州孟菲斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。