Northrop Grumman · Industrials
NOC
$521.57
Northrop Grumman Corporation, headquartered in West Falls Church, Virginia, is an American aerospace and defense company that designs and manufactures systems for aeronautics, defense, missions, and space.诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司（NorthropGrummanCorporation）总部位于弗吉尼亚州西福尔斯彻奇，是一家美国航空航天与防务公司，设计并制造航空、防务、任务及太空领域的系统。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$74B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~10+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 10+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$521.57
31.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 31.8%
Market Cap市值
$74B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.7x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.03
Moves about 0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NOC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.8 points落后指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 5.8 points落后指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -21.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 26.0 points落后指数 26.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -21.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 29.0 points落后指数 29.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -10.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 19.4 points落后指数 19.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +1.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 18.3 points落后指数 18.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-14.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$509.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$521.60
Stop止损
$496.00
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NOC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.71x | 29.89 | 81% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.44x | 3.90 | 45% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.77x | 2.21 | 61% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.65% | 3.10 | 83% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.47% | 3.81 | 62% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.94% | 2.29 | 68% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.27x | 16.39 | 62% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 22.40x | 25.50 | 58% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
25.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.89 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.10 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.6B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $119.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.03×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.1%空头仓位变动 +10.1%
Technical技术面
NOC broke down vs the marketNOC 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.23%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.99%
Call wall看涨密集区
$580
Put wall看跌密集区
$500
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$554
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
4.0%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 13 fresh positions; P/C 0.93; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；13个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.93；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$26.2M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$26.2M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
NOC broke down vs the marketNOC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $525.22.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$525.22。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
NOC daily MACD crossed upNOC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $549.01.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$549.01。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NOC StochRSI turned up from oversoldNOC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $519.95.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$519.95。
Jun 29, 2026
NOC printed a daily-cycle lowNOC 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $496.02.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$496.02。
Jun 29, 2026
NOC RSI reached oversoldNOC RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $496.02.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$496.02。
Jun 22, 2026
NOC daily MACD crossed downNOC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $507.33.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$507.33。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 86 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.07
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Northrop Grumman Corporation, headquartered in West Falls Church, Virginia, is an American aerospace and defense company that designs and manufactures systems for aeronautics, defense, missions, and space.诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司（NorthropGrummanCorporation）总部位于弗吉尼亚州西福尔斯彻奇，是一家美国航空航天与防务公司，设计并制造航空、防务、任务及太空领域的系统。
Recent News最新动态
Military Drone (UAV) Market to Reach USD 22.81 Billion by 2030, Growing at 7.6% CAGR, Says MarketsandMarkets™
GlobeNewswire Inc.
2026-07-17
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