Paccar · Industrials
PCAR
$126.20
Paccar Inc. is an American company that manufactures heavy-duty trucks.帕卡公司（PaccarInc.）是一家美国重型卡车制造商。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$66B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 116.78.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 116.78 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$126.20
2.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.2%
Market Cap市值
$66B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
27.9x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.01
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PCAR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +4.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 3.2 points落后指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +13.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +37.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 18.2 points跑赢指数 18.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+7.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$125.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$127.20
Stop止损
$116.80
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PCAR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 27.93x | 29.89 | 54% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.45x | 3.90 | 57% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.33x | 2.21 | 49% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.58% | 3.10 | 59% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.53% | 3.81 | 71% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.05% | 2.29 | 3% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 18.07x | 25.50 | 69% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $36.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $24.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/6
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 58% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 58% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.01×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.07%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.62%
Call wall看涨密集区
$134
Put wall看跌密集区
$110
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$98
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-9.4%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$21.4M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$21.4M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 0.4% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 15, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
PCAR weekly MACD crossed upPCAR 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 105 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.06
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Paccar Inc. is an American company that manufactures heavy-duty trucks.帕卡公司（PaccarInc.）是一家美国重型卡车制造商。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。