Norfolk Southern · Industrials
NSC
$340.16
The Norfolk Southern Railway is a Class I freight railroad operating in the Eastern United States. Headquartered in Atlanta, the company was formed in 1982 with the merger of the Norfolk and Western Railway and Southern Railway.诺福克南方铁路是一家在美国东部运营的一级货运铁路公司，总部位于亚特兰大，于1982年由诺福克与西方铁路和南方铁路合并而成。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$76B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期，此处不宜加仓；回调即将到来。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$340.16
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$76B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.34
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
74
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
35th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NSC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.6 points跑赢指数 12.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +13.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 10.3 points跑赢指数 10.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +19.2% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 10.1 points跑赢指数 10.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +28.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 9.0 points跑赢指数 9.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
74
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+14.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
35th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$323.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$340.20
Stop止损
$300.10
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NSC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.57x | 29.89 | 57% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.91x | 3.90 | 39% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.27x | 2.21 | 9% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.76% | 3.10 | 61% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.83% | 3.81 | 34% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.29% | 2.29 | 50% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.12x | 16.39 | 71% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 35.39x | 25.50 | 28% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
18.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.16 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.85 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $534.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $63.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 42% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 42% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.34×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NSC took relative-strength leadershipNSC 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.65%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.68%
Call wall看涨密集区
$350
Put wall看跌密集区
$300
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$323
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-7.6%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$1.0M net (3 buyers, 1 sellers)+$1.0M 净值（3 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | trimtrim | 1.4% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 16, 2026
NSC took relative-strength leadershipNSC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $338.06.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$338.06。
Jul 16, 2026
NSC RSI reached overboughtNSC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $338.06.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$338.06。
Jul 15, 2026
NSC made a new 52-week highNSC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $328.54.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$328.54。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
NSC made a new 52-week highNSC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $327.47.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$327.47。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 99 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.06
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
The Norfolk Southern Railway is a Class I freight railroad operating in the Eastern United States. Headquartered in Atlanta, the company was formed in 1982 with the merger of the Norfolk and Western Railway and Southern Railway.诺福克南方铁路是一家在美国东部运营的一级货运铁路公司，总部位于亚特兰大，于1982年由诺福克与西方铁路和南方铁路合并而成。
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