Mattel · Consumer Disc.
MAT
$14.30
Mattel, Inc. is an American multinational toy manufacturing and entertainment company headquartered in El Segundo, California.美泰公司是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州埃尔塞贡多的美国跨国玩具制造和娱乐公司。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is in off a real pullback, but the cycle count is stretched well past its usual window — so this is an UN日线已在一次真实回调后转向，但周期天数已远超通常窗口——因此这是未确认的新周期，尚非全新低点。请在确认后买入（更高的低点 + 周线转向），而非此处。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$14.30
35.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 35.5%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
10.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.76
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MAT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +7.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.8 points跑赢指数 8.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 10.6 points落后指数 10.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -32.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 39.8 points落后指数 39.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -28.6% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 37.7 points落后指数 37.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -26.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 46.0 points落后指数 46.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -31.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 100.9 points落后指数 100.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-16.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$14.07
Don't chase above不追高于
$14.48
Stop止损
$13.05
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MAT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.86x | 20.23 | 82% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.94x | 2.97 | 63% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.81x | 1.23 | 61% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.21% | 4.53 | 85% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 13.88% | 4.31 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.57x | 11.48 | 74% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 28.1%
Margins利润率
17.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.52 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.15 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $600.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $79.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -8.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.76×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MAT weekly MACD crossed upMAT 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$1.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$1.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
MAT weekly MACD crossed upMAT 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 13, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
MAT daily MACD crossed upMAT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $13.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$13.84。
Jul 2, 2026
MAT made a new 52-week lowMAT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $13.34.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$13.34。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 30, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
MAT broke down vs the marketMAT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $13.69.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$13.69。
Jun 17, 2026
MAT made a new 52-week lowMAT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $13.67.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$13.67。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 256 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.58
Value价值
+0.7
Profitability盈利能力
+0.4
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Mattel, Inc. is an American multinational toy manufacturing and entertainment company headquartered in El Segundo, California.美泰公司是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州埃尔塞贡多的美国跨国玩具制造和娱乐公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。