DORM Dorman Products, Inc. · $141.97 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Dorman Products, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

DORM

$141.97
Dorman Products is an American manufacturer of aftermarket automotive products in the United States. The company was founded in 1918.DormanProducts是一家美国售后汽车零部件制造商，成立于1918年。
Cyclical周期股 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 122.77 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 122.77，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$141.97
14.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.7%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.79
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
42th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 DORM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +15.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 15.0 points跑赢指数 15.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +28.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 23.6 points跑赢指数 23.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +12.6% +7.8% Beat the index by 4.8 points跑赢指数 4.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +14.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +16.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +75.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 65 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 42th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$140.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$143.30
Stop止损
$122.80
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03

Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 DORM Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 21.13x 20.23
46%
P/B市净率 2.92x 2.97
50%
P/S市销率 2.03x 1.23
32%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.73% 4.53
52%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.75% 5.69
14%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 14.12x 11.48
33%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 57.02x 16.53
7%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.1B
2020
$1.3B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$1.9B
2023
$2.0B
2024
$2.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.30
2020
$4.12
2021
$3.85
2022
$4.10
2023
$6.14
2024
$6.64
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$136.5M
2020
$80.5M
2021
$3.8M
2022
$164.8M
2023
$191.6M
2024
$75.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
42.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
14.1%
Net margin净利率
9.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
5.3%
13.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.17
Current ratio流动比率3.09
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$19.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 35% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 35% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.79×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 DORM daily MACD crossed upDORM 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.8M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$2.8M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 20 day(s) ago (2026-06-17 @ 122.77): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 20 天前形成 （2026-06-17 @ 122.77）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
DORM daily MACD crossed upDORM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $144.12.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$144.12。
Jul 15, 2026
DORM daily MACD crossed downDORM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $137.55.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$137.55。
Jul 13, 2026
Golden cross on DORMDORM 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $138.91.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$138.91。
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 251 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.04
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Dorman Products is an American manufacturer of aftermarket automotive products in the United States. The company was founded in 1918.DormanProducts是一家美国售后汽车零部件制造商，成立于1918年。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Inventory build
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