ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch
·
$95.24
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Abercrombie & Fitch · Consumer Disc.
ANF
$95.24
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (A&F) is an American lifestyle retailer founded in 1892, which focuses on contemporary clothing targeting customers in their early 20s to mid 40s.Abercrombie&FitchCo.（A&F）是一家成立于1892年的美国生活方式零售商，专注于面向20岁至45岁顾客的当代服装。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$95.24
26.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 26.7%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
8.6x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.23
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
23th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ANF | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +12.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.8 points落后指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -8.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 16.3 points落后指数 16.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -23.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 32.1 points落后指数 32.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +1.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 17.5 points落后指数 17.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +156.3% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 86.9 points跑赢指数 86.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+14.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+5.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
23th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$91.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$95.24
Stop止损
$84.22
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ANF | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 8.62x | 20.23 | 92% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.11x | 2.97 | 48% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.83x | 1.23 | 59% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 11.61% | 4.53 | 93% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.66% | 5.69 | 76% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.33% | 4.31 | 88% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 4.22x | 11.48 | 93% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 11.54x | 16.53 | 74% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
36.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
14.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.89 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.49 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $451.2M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $39.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -9.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.23×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +37.2%空头仓位变动 +37.2%
Technical技术面
ANF daily MACD crossed upANF 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$39.7M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$39.7M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
ANF daily MACD crossed upANF 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $92.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$92.87。
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
ANF reclaimed its 200-day averageANF 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $93.07.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$93.07。
Jul 9, 2026
ANF StochRSI turned up from oversoldANF StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $89.23.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$89.23。
Jul 8, 2026
ANF daily MACD crossed downANF 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.88.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$86.88。
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
ANF lost its 200-day averageANF 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $89.02.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$89.02。
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 256 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.13
Value价值
+0.6
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (A&F) is an American lifestyle retailer founded in 1892, which focuses on contemporary clothing targeting customers in their early 20s to mid 40s.Abercrombie&FitchCo.（A&F）是一家成立于1892年的美国生活方式零售商，专注于面向20岁至45岁顾客的当代服装。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。