BFAM
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.
·
$76.58
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Terminal终端 ↗
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. · Consumer Disc.
BFAM
$76.58
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. is a United States–based child-care provider and is the largest provider of employer-sponsored child care.BrightHorizonsFamilySolutionsInc.是一家总部位于美国的儿童保育服务提供商，也是最大的雇主赞助儿童保育供应商。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 63.81.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 63.81 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$76.58
38.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 38.8%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.1x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.17
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
54th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | BFAM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +19.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 19.0 points跑赢指数 19.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -9.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 14.4 points落后指数 14.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -20.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 28.2 points落后指数 28.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -22.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 32.0 points落后指数 32.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -33.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 52.8 points落后指数 52.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -17.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 87.3 points落后指数 87.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+12.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-10.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
54th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$75.66
Don't chase above不追高于
$77.31
Stop止损
$63.81
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | BFAM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.06x | 20.23 | 44% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.18x | 2.97 | 47% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.45x | 1.23 | 43% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.53% | 4.53 | 50% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.07% | 5.69 | 55% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.29% | 4.31 | 64% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.93x | 11.48 | 44% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 16.47x | 16.53 | 51% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 49.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
14.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.49 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.52 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $225.4M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.17×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Adding加仓 | 2.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
BFAM RSI reached overboughtBFAM RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $76.62.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$76.62。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
BFAM weekly MACD crossed upBFAM 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 24, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 230 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.06
Value价值
-0.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. is a United States–based child-care provider and is the largest provider of employer-sponsored child care.BrightHorizonsFamilySolutionsInc.是一家总部位于美国的儿童保育服务提供商，也是最大的雇主赞助儿童保育供应商。
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