LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. · $42.15 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

LTH

$42.15
Life Time, Inc. is a chain of health clubs in the United States and Canada.LifeTime,Inc.是位于美国和加拿大的连锁健身俱乐部。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$42.15
1.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.6%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.04
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
37th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 LTH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +21.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 21.3 points跑赢指数 21.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +47.6% +4.7% Beat the index by 42.9 points跑赢指数 42.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +55.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 47.5 points跑赢指数 47.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +57.9% +9.1% Beat the index by 48.8 points跑赢指数 48.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +38.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 19.3 points跑赢指数 19.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +91.4% +69.4% Beat the index by 22.0 points跑赢指数 22.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 69 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +16.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +44.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 37th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$41.23
Don't chase above不追高于
$42.15
Stop止损
$34.25
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 LTH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 24.94x 20.23
31%
P/B市净率 2.98x 2.97
49%
P/S市销率 3.11x 1.23
15%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.01% 4.53
39%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -0.22% 5.69
6%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.66x 11.48
36%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.3B
2021
$1.8B
2022
$2.2B
2023
$2.6B
2024
$3.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-3.73
2021
$-0.01
2022
$0.37
2023
$0.74
2024
$1.66
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$348.9M
2021
-$390.2M
2022
-$230.9M
2023
$50.6M
2024
-$21.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
16.1%
Net margin净利率
12.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
29.1%
12.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.68
Current ratio流动比率0.63
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$10.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$51.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+6.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.7) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 27% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 27% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.04×
0.2
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +35.9%空头仓位变动 +35.9%
Technical技术面 LTH StochRSI turned up from oversoldLTH StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.7M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$7.7M 净值(0 买家,4 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B Adding加仓 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 32 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期(约 23-44 天中的第 32 天)——即便趋势完好,从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
LTH StochRSI turned up from oversoldLTH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $42.84.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$42.84。
Jul 15, 2026
LTH made a new 52-week highLTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $42.00.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$42.00。
Jul 13, 2026
LTH daily MACD crossed downLTH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.47.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$41.47。
Jul 7, 2026
LTH made a new 52-week highLTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $41.95.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$41.95。
Jun 18, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 18, 2026
LTH made a new 52-week highLTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $36.92.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$36.92。
Jun 18, 2026
LTH RSI reached overboughtLTH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $36.92.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$36.92。
Jun 16, 2026
LTH made a new 52-week highLTH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $34.87.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$34.87。
Jun 12, 2026
LTH daily MACD crossed upLTH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $34.31.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$34.31。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 255 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.00
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4

Company Profile公司档案

Life Time, Inc. is a chain of health clubs in the United States and Canada.LifeTime,Inc.是位于美国和加拿大的连锁健身俱乐部。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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