Autoliv · Consumer Disc.
ALV
$120.26
Autolivis anAmerican-Swedish automotive safety supplier headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, and incorporated in Delaware, United States as Autoliv, Inc. It is the world’s largest automotive safety system supplier, producing systems such as airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels for automotive manufacturers.Autoliv（奥托立夫）是一家美瑞合资的汽车安全供应商，总部位于瑞典斯德哥尔摩，在美国特拉华州注册为Autoliv,Inc.。它是全球最大的汽车安全系统供应商，为汽车制造商生产安全气囊、安全带和方向盘等系统。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~12+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 12+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$120.26
8.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.7%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.15
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-17 (-2d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ALV | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.0% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.5 points跑赢指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.8 points落后指数 2.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -3.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 11.2 points落后指数 11.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +0.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +5.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 14.1 points落后指数 14.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +38.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 30.7 points落后指数 30.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$119.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$120.30
Stop止损
$113.30
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ALV | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.22x | 20.23 | 78% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.49x | 2.97 | 44% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.83x | 1.23 | 59% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.18% | 4.53 | 81% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.97% | 5.69 | 71% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.65% | 4.31 | 31% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.76x | 11.48 | 81% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 12.55x | 16.53 | 69% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 34.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
28.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.76 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.05 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $157.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (3.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 67% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 67% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.15×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ALV daily MACD crossed upALV 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.9M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$2.9M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 10, 2026
ALV daily MACD crossed upALV 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $120.26.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$120.26。
Jul 9, 2026
ALV reclaimed its 200-day averageALV 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $118.95.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$118.95。
Jul 8, 2026
ALV lost its 200-day averageALV 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $117.25.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$117.25。
Jul 6, 2026
ALV reclaimed its 200-day averageALV 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $119.83.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$119.83。
Jul 6, 2026
ALV StochRSI turned up from oversoldALV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $119.83.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$119.83。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
ALV printed a daily-cycle lowALV 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $113.34.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$113.34。
Jul 1, 2026
ALV broke down vs the marketALV 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $113.34.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$113.34。
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.08
Value价值
+0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Autolivis anAmerican-Swedish automotive safety supplier headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, and incorporated in Delaware, United States as Autoliv, Inc. It is the world’s largest automotive safety system supplier, producing systems such as airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels for automotive manufacturers.Autoliv（奥托立夫）是一家美瑞合资的汽车安全供应商，总部位于瑞典斯德哥尔摩，在美国特拉华州注册为Autoliv,Inc.。它是全球最大的汽车安全系统供应商，为汽车制造商生产安全气囊、安全带和方向盘等系统。
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