WYNN Wynn Resorts · $96.64 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Wynn Resorts · Consumer Disc.

WYNN

$96.64
Wynn Resorts, Limited is an American publicly traded corporation based in Paradise, Nevada, that is a developer and operator of high-end hotels and casinos. It was founded in 2002 by former Mirage Resorts Chairman and CEO Steve Wynn and is...永利度假村有限公司（WynnResorts,Limited）是一家美国上市公司，总部位于内华达州天堂市，从事高端酒店和赌场的开发与运营。公司成立于2002年，由前幻影度假村董事长兼CEO史蒂夫·韦恩创立，现由CEO克雷格·比林斯管理。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 95.89.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 95.89 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$96.64
27.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.0%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
30.7x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.95
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
42
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
21th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WYNN S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -3.1% -1.5% Lagged the index by 1.6 points落后指数 1.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -5.5% +0.6% Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -11.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 16.0 points落后指数 16.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -15.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 22.9 points落后指数 22.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -20.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 29.9 points落后指数 29.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -10.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 30.3 points落后指数 30.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 42 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -4.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -12.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 21th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$94.96
Don't chase above不追高于
$96.64
Stop止损
$95.89
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WYNN Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 30.70x 20.23
23%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.26% 4.53
32%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 6.89% 5.69
62%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.78% 4.31
45%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 11.00x 11.48
53%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 14.52x 16.53
59%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.1B
2020
$3.8B
2021
$3.8B
2022
$6.5B
2023
$7.1B
2024
$7.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-19.37
2020
$-6.64
2021
$-3.73
2022
$6.32
2023
$4.35
2024
$3.14
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$1.4B
2020
-$513.2M
2021
-$371.4M
2022
$805.1M
2023
$1.0B
2024
$692.2M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
15.7%
-118.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.22
Current ratio流动比率1.63
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$380.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$91.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-3.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.2) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.95×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 WYNN weekly MACD crossed downWYNN 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.70%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.05%
Call wall看涨密集区
$103
Put wall看跌密集区
$85
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$76
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Flow资金流向

$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 0.9; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；11个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.9；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Egerton Capital C exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
WYNN weekly MACD crossed downWYNN 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 14, 2026
WYNN broke down vs the marketWYNN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $95.90.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$95.90。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
WYNN StochRSI turned up from oversoldWYNN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $98.83.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$98.83。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
WYNN broke down vs the marketWYNN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $97.09.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$97.09。
Jun 25, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 91 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.48
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
-2.3
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.9

Company Profile公司档案

Wynn Resorts, Limited is an American publicly traded corporation based in Paradise, Nevada, that is a developer and operator of high-end hotels and casinos. It was founded in 2002 by former Mirage Resorts Chairman and CEO Steve Wynn and is...永利度假村有限公司（WynnResorts,Limited）是一家美国上市公司，总部位于内华达州天堂市，从事高端酒店和赌场的开发与运营。公司成立于2002年，由前幻影度假村董事长兼CEO史蒂夫·韦恩创立，现由CEO克雷格·比林斯管理。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
  • Inventory build
  • Capital intensity rising
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