CrowdStrike · Tech
CRWD
$203.08
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is an American cybersecurity technology company based in Austin, Texas.CrowdStrikeHoldings,Inc.是一家美国网络安全技术公司，总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Large cap大盘
$51B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 63, 3-day 71 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 63、3 日 71 与周线 74））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$203.08
3.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.6%
Market Cap市值
$51B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
130.0x
EPS每股收益 $-0.64
Beta贝塔
1.46
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CRWD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +8.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 10.0 points跑赢指数 10.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +18.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 18.3 points跑赢指数 18.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +91.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 86.9 points跑赢指数 86.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +79.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 71.2 points跑赢指数 71.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +79.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 70.0 points跑赢指数 70.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +72.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 53.5 points跑赢指数 53.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +431.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 361.7 points跑赢指数 361.7 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +225.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 141.1 points跑赢指数 141.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+18.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+56.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
39
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位
81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$193.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$203.10
Stop止损
$168.30
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 45 analysts预期上调 — 45 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +9.3% (20d)财报后漂移：+9.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CRWD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 130.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 11.56x | 5.85 | 25% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -0.31% | 2.19 | 9% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.56% | 3.05 | 45% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 39.07x | 30.46 | 40% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 58.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-3.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-1.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $1.1B |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 35% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 35% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.46×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Cybersecurity theme — #1 of 46 themes「网络安全」主题 — 46 个主题中第 1 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CRWD made a new 52-week highCRWD 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.10%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.16%
Call wall看涨密集区
$225
Put wall看跌密集区
$195
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.6%
Flow资金流向
$71M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 51 fresh positions; P/C 0.93; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +47,448); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $71M；0DTE占0%；51个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.93；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +47,448）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$108.0M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$108.0M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
CRWD made a new 52-week highCRWD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $210.73.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$210.73。
Jul 14, 2026
CRWD daily MACD crossed upCRWD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $210.73.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$210.73。
Jul 13, 2026
CRWD took relative-strength leadershipCRWD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $187.91.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$187.91。
Jul 13, 2026
CRWD daily MACD crossed downCRWD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $187.91.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$187.91。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
CRWD made a new 52-week highCRWD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $199.38.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$199.38。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
CRWD daily MACD crossed upCRWD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $190.79.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$190.79。
Jun 30, 2026
CRWD RSI reached overboughtCRWD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $190.79.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$190.79。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
-1.0
Profitability盈利能力
+0.1
Quality质量
+1.9
Investment资本投入
-1.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is an American cybersecurity technology company based in Austin, Texas.CrowdStrikeHoldings,Inc.是一家美国网络安全技术公司，总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) still expanding (+38% YoY to ~$9B, 1.9× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）持续扩张（同比+38%，约 $9B，覆盖营收 1.9 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
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