CSX
CSX Corporation
·
$50.75
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
CSX Corporation · Industrials
CSX
$50.75
CSX Corporation is an American holding company focused on rail transportation and real estate in North America, among other industries. The company was established in 1980 as part of the Chessie System and Seaboard Coast Line Industries merger.CSXCorporation是一家美国控股公司，专注于北美铁路运输和房地产等领域。公司于1980年由切萨皮克与俄亥俄铁路系统和海岸线工业公司合并成立。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$94B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 70, 3-day 76 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 70、3 日 76 与周线 75））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$50.75
0.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 0.3%
Market Cap市值
$94B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
32.7x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
22.8x
EPS每股收益 $1.55
Beta贝塔
0.54
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.10%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
18th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CSX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +11.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 10.8 points跑赢指数 10.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 12.8 points跑赢指数 12.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +40.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 33.1 points跑赢指数 33.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +40.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 31.7 points跑赢指数 31.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +49.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 29.8 points跑赢指数 29.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +57.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 12.4 points落后指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +72.4% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 11.5 points落后指数 11.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI（14）
70
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+25.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
24
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
18th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$48.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$50.75
Stop止损
$45.57
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -4.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-4.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CSX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 32.67x | 29.89 | 43% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 22.8x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 6.70x | 2.21 | 7% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.06% | 3.10 | 49% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.81% | 3.81 | 19% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.51% | 2.29 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.11x | 16.39 | 55% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 55.17x | 25.50 | 12% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -15.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.11 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.81 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.4B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $54.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 31% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 31% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.54×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.10%
Pays a dividend (1.10% yield)有分红（收益率 1.10%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CSX made a new 52-week highCSX 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.88%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.20%
Call wall看涨密集区
$51
Put wall看跌密集区
$46
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.1%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.4M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$6.4M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Adding加仓 | 2.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
CSX made a new 52-week highCSX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $50.89.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$50.89。
Jul 16, 2026
CSX RSI reached overboughtCSX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $50.89.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$50.89。
Jul 14, 2026
CSX RSI reached overboughtCSX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $49.92.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$49.92。
Jul 13, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
CSX made a new 52-week highCSX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $49.35.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$49.35。
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.09
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
CSX Corporation is an American holding company focused on rail transportation and real estate in North America, among other industries. The company was established in 1980 as part of the Chessie System and Seaboard Coast Line Industries merger.CSXCorporation是一家美国控股公司，专注于北美铁路运输和房地产等领域。公司于1980年由切萨皮克与俄亥俄铁路系统和海岸线工业公司合并成立。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。