WM Waste Management · $239.31 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Waste Management · Industrials

WM

$239.31
Waste Management, Inc., doing business as WM, is a waste management company operating in North America. Founded in 1968, the company is headquartered in the Bank of America Tower in Houston, Texas.废物管理公司(以WM名义经营)是一家在北美运营的废物管理公司,成立于1968年,总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿的美国银行大厦。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $96B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期,此处不宜加仓;回调即将到来。
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Price Chart价格图表

WASTE MANAGEMENT 210.00 220.00 230.00 240.00 239.31 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 7.9MVOL MACD 4.812 MASTERMIND WMDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$239.31
2.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.5%
Market Cap市值
$96B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.6x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
26.0x
EPS每股收益 $6.72
Beta贝塔
-0.34
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.48%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
63
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
98th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.3 points跑赢指数 10.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +6.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +8.6% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +10.0% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 +7.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 12.1 points落后指数 12.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +49.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 19.7 points落后指数 19.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +76.7% +83.9% Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI(14) 63 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +7.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +8.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 26 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 98th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$231.75
Don't chase above不追高于
$239.30
Stop止损
$213.30
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓

Earnings财务业绩

8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WM Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 35.60x 29.89
35%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 26.0x
P/B市净率 9.65x 3.90
18%
P/S市销率 3.83x 2.21
26%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.81% 3.10
41%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.92% 3.81
34%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.38% 2.29
32%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.52x 16.39
68%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 34.24x 25.50
29%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$15.2B
2020
$17.9B
2021
$19.7B
2022
$20.4B
2023
$22.1B
2024
$25.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.52
2020
$4.29
2021
$5.39
2022
$5.66
2023
$6.81
2024
$6.70
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.8B
2020
$2.3B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$1.8B
2023
$2.2B
2024
$2.8B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
17.1%
Net margin净利率
10.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
24.0%
27.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.07
Current ratio流动比率0.89
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$262.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$169.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (3.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.34×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
1.48%
Pays a dividend (1.48% yield)有分红(收益率 1.48%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 WM weekly MACD crossed upWM 周线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.69%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.79%
Call wall看涨密集区
$250
Put wall看跌密集区
$220
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$199
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$22.9M net (1 buyers, 12 sellers)-$22.9M 净值(1 买家,12 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Gates Foundation Trust D Holding持有 20.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. The weekly (investor-cycle) momentum just crossed UP while price holds its 10-day average — the start of a new multi-month up-leg. A daily-overbought print here is the launch thrust, not a top, so this is a HOLD / ride, not a take-profit. The daily can still dip to its 10-day average (normal) — but the bigger investor cycle is early, with room left. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell持有。周线(投资者周期)动量刚刚向上交叉,且价格守住 10 日均线——这是新的多月上行段的起点。此处日线超买只是启动推力、并非见顶,因此应持有 / 顺势,而非止盈。日线仍可能回踩 10 日均线(属正常)——但更大的投资者周期尚处早期,仍有空间。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
RALLY ON UPTREND
Jul 10, 2026
WM weekly MACD crossed upWM 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
Golden cross on WMWM 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $230.40.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$230.40。
Jul 1, 2026
Death cross on WMWM 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $224.08.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$224.08。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 3238 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.12
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Waste Management, Inc., doing business as WM, is a waste management company operating in North America. Founded in 1968, the company is headquartered in the Bank of America Tower in Houston, Texas.废物管理公司(以WM名义经营)是一家在北美运营的废物管理公司,成立于1968年,总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿的美国银行大厦。
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