General Dynamics · Industrials
GD
$368.58
General Dynamics Corporation (GD) is an American industrial and technology company based in Reston, Virginia. It is primarily a developer and producer of advanced military equipment of a wide variety, such as nuclear submarines, main battle tanks, and armoured fighting...通用动力公司（GD）是一家美国工业和科技公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州雷斯顿，主要开发和制造各类先进军事装备，包括核潜艇、主战坦克和装甲战车等。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$100B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the daily momentum is already rollin筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且日线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$368.58
2.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.2%
Market Cap市值
$100B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.7x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
20.2x
EPS每股收益 $15.57
Beta贝塔
0.45
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.73%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
70th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.7% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 1.4 points跑赢指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +9.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +0.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 7.0 points落后指数 7.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.3% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +24.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +82.4% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 13.0 points跑赢指数 13.0 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +115.3% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 31.4 points跑赢指数 31.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+4.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+6.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
24
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
70th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$361.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$368.60
Stop止损
$341.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -3.4% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.4%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.67x | 29.89 | 67% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 20.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 3.89x | 3.90 | 51% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.90x | 2.21 | 57% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.22% | 3.10 | 70% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.97% | 3.81 | 54% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.64% | 2.29 | 14% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.77x | 16.39 | 46% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.17x | 25.50 | 50% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.90 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.44 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $637.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $196.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 55% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 55% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.45×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
1.73%
Pays a dividend (1.73% yield)有分红（收益率 1.73%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
GD daily MACD crossed downGD 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.57%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.51%
Call wall看涨密集区
$380
Put wall看跌密集区
$358
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$298
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.5%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 6 fresh positions; P/C 0.95; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；6个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.95；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$26.3M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$26.3M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
GD daily MACD crossed downGD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $368.58.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$368.58。
Jul 13, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 3, 2026
GD weekly MACD crossed upGD 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
Golden cross on GDGD 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $373.54.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$373.54。
Jul 2, 2026
GD made a new 52-week highGD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $373.54.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$373.54。
Jul 1, 2026
GD daily MACD crossed upGD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $361.27.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$361.27。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.09
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
General Dynamics Corporation (GD) is an American industrial and technology company based in Reston, Virginia. It is primarily a developer and producer of advanced military equipment of a wide variety, such as nuclear submarines, main battle tanks, and armoured fighting...通用动力公司（GD）是一家美国工业和科技公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州雷斯顿，主要开发和制造各类先进军事装备，包括核潜艇、主战坦克和装甲战车等。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+30% YoY to ~$118B, 2.2× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+30%，约 $118B，覆盖营收 2.2 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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