Cummins · Industrials
CMI
$648.48
Cummins Inc. is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures, and distributes diesel engines, electric vehicle components, and power generation products.康明斯公司是一家美国跨国企业，设计、制造和分销柴油发动机、电动汽车零部件及发电产品。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$90B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–19 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–19 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$648.48
10.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.9%
Market Cap市值
$90B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
19.0x
Beta贝塔
1.64
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.36%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CMI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -9.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 10.3 points落后指数 10.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +3.7% | +4.7% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +25.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 15.9 points跑赢指数 15.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +89.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 69.8 points跑赢指数 69.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +166.8% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 97.4 points跑赢指数 97.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +205.5% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 121.6 points跑赢指数 121.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+14.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
15
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$630.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$648.50
Stop止损
$647.80
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CMI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 19.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 7.26x | 3.90 | 26% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.66x | 2.21 | 44% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.66% | 3.81 | 31% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.93x | 16.39 | 45% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 37.55x | 25.50 | 25% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.54 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.76 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $93.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
1.36%
Pays a dividend (1.36% yield)有分红（收益率 1.36%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.06%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.85%
Call wall看涨密集区
$690
Put wall看跌密集区
$630
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$627
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.8%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$32.4M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$32.4M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
CMI weekly MACD crossed downCMI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
CMI daily MACD crossed downCMI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $682.32.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$682.32。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
CMI took relative-strength leadershipCMI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $713.21.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$713.21。
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 25, 2026
CMI made a new 52-week highCMI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $727.59.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$727.59。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Cummins Inc. is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures, and distributes diesel engines, electric vehicle components, and power generation products.康明斯公司是一家美国跨国企业，设计、制造和分销柴油发动机、电动汽车零部件及发电产品。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。