Johnson Controls · Industrials
JCI
$142.76
Johnson Controls International plc is an American-Irish multinational conglomerate headquartered in Cork, Ireland, that produces fire, HVAC, and security equipment for buildings. As of mid-2019, it employed 105,000 people in around 2,000 locations across six continents.JohnsonControlsInternationalplc(江森自控国际公司)是一家美爱跨国企业集团,总部位于爱尔兰科克,生产建筑用消防、暖通空调和安全设备。截至2019年中期,其在六大洲约2000个地点雇佣了10.5万名员工。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$86B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed @ 138.4 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the we日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成 @ 138.4,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$142.76
3.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.7%
Market Cap市值
$86B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
26.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.05
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | JCI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.8% | +1.3% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.3% | +0.3% | Lagged the index by 2.6 points落后指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +4.1% | +7.6% | Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +25.3% | +9.4% | Beat the index by 15.9 points跑赢指数 15.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +17.4% | +10.8% | Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +35.4% | +22.4% | Beat the index by 13.0 points跑赢指数 13.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +118.0% | +73.9% | Beat the index by 44.1 points跑赢指数 44.1 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +124.7% | +86.7% | Beat the index by 38.0 points跑赢指数 38.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Death Cross (7/35)MA Sell (21)Double Bottom (Short-term)Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)
RSI (14)RSI(14)
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.4% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX)
8
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$140.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$144.30
Stop止损
$138.40
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | JCI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 26.12x | 29.89 | 59% |
| P/B市净率 | 6.51x | 3.90 | 28% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.64x | 2.21 | 29% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.83% | 3.10 | 63% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.47% | 3.81 | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 8.10% | 2.29 | 93% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 40.55x | 25.50 | 22% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 43.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
24.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.93 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $6.0B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $140.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -7.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +12.0%空头仓位变动 +12.0%
Technical技术面
JCI daily MACD crossed upJCI 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.57%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.75%
Call wall看涨密集区
$145
Put wall看跌密集区
$135
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$127
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.2%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.7M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$7.7M 净值(1 买家,4 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 14, 2026
JCI daily MACD crossed upJCI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $145.24.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$145.24。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
JCI StochRSI turned up from oversoldJCI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $142.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$142.81。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.26
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+1.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.3
Company Profile公司档案
Johnson Controls International plc is an American-Irish multinational conglomerate headquartered in Cork, Ireland, that produces fire, HVAC, and security equipment for buildings. As of mid-2019, it employed 105,000 people in around 2,000 locations across six continents.JohnsonControlsInternationalplc(江森自控国际公司)是一家美爱跨国企业集团,总部位于爱尔兰科克,生产建筑用消防、暖通空调和安全设备。截至2019年中期,其在六大洲约2000个地点雇佣了10.5万名员工。
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