ADP Automatic Data Processing · $255.27 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

All coverage所有股票 · Industrials

Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

ADP

$255.27
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is an American multinational provider of cloud-based human resources management, payroll processing, and professional employer organization (PEO) services, headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey.自动数据处理公司（ADP）是一家美国跨国云人力资源管理、薪资处理和专业雇主组织（PEO）服务提供商，总部位于新泽西州罗斯兰。
Quality compounder优质复利股 Large cap大盘 $103B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING 200.00 220.00 240.00 260.00 255.27 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 19.1MVOL MACD 8.306 MASTERMIND ADPDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$255.27
15.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.6%
Market Cap市值
$103B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
25.2x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
20.9x
EPS每股收益 $10.12
Beta贝塔
0.08
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.66%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ADP S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 7.0 points跑赢指数 7.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +16.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 16.1 points跑赢指数 16.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +28.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 23.6 points跑赢指数 23.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -0.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 8.2 points落后指数 8.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +2.6% +9.1% Lagged the index by 6.5 points落后指数 6.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -13.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 32.6 points落后指数 32.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +16.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 53.3 points落后指数 53.3 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +38.6% +83.9% Lagged the index by 45.3 points落后指数 45.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14） 69 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +8.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 29 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$240.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$255.30
Stop止损
$214.60
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 17 analysts预期上调 — 17 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ADP Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 25.22x 29.89
61%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） 20.9x — —
P/B市净率 16.09x 3.90
8%
P/S市销率 5.00x 2.21
15%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.97% 3.10
65%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.24% 2.29
28%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$14.6B
2020
$15.0B
2021
$16.5B
2022
$18.0B
2023
$19.2B
2024
$20.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$5.70
2020
$6.07
2021
$7.00
2022
$8.21
2023
$9.10
2024
$9.98
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.9%
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
19.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
24.0%
63.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.05
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.3B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$266.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.4) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 28% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 28% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.08×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
2.66%
Pays a dividend (2.66% yield)有分红（收益率 2.66%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 ADP RSI reached overboughtADP RSI进入超买

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.03%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.54%
Call wall看涨密集区
$260
Put wall看跌密集区
$230
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$225
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.7%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$1.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Giverny Capital C New position新建仓 3.1% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 214.6) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 18 天前形成 @ 214.6）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
ADP RSI reached overboughtADP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $256.56.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$256.56。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
ADP RSI reached overboughtADP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $251.05.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$251.05。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
ADP reclaimed its 200-day averageADP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $242.27.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$242.27。
Jul 1, 2026
ADP took relative-strength leadershipADP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $235.73.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$235.73。
Jul 1, 2026
ADP daily MACD crossed upADP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $235.73.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$235.73。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3892 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.27
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-1.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is an American multinational provider of cloud-based human resources management, payroll processing, and professional employer organization (PEO) services, headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey.自动数据处理公司（ADP）是一家美国跨国云人力资源管理、薪资处理和专业雇主组织（PEO）服务提供商，总部位于新泽西州罗斯兰。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。
Open Analyzer打开分析器 Browse All Stocks浏览所有股票