BLD TopBuild Corp. · $354.53 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

TopBuild Corp.

BLD

$354.53

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利

Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$354.53

35.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 35.6%

Beta贝塔

1.22

Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Depressed偏低

Volatility Rank波动率分位

91th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期	BLD	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-17.0%	+1.4%	Lagged the index by 18.4 points落后指数 18.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月	-12.9%	-1.7%	Lagged the index by 11.2 points落后指数 11.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-0.7%	+13.6%	Lagged the index by 14.3 points落后指数 14.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-17.8%	+9.3%	Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-17.8%	+9.3%	Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+2.7%	+21.1%	Lagged the index by 18.4 points落后指数 18.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+34.1%	+73.8%	Lagged the index by 39.7 points落后指数 39.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 32 Depressed偏低

vs 50-day相对50日均线 -14.5% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 -17.0% vs 200-day avg

Volatility rank波动率分位 91th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Stop止损

$354.50

Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度

1.22×

0.21×3×

Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动

Technical技术面 BLD weekly MACD crossed downBLD 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动

±4.45%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±9.95%

Put wall看跌密集区

$350

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

4.0%

Skew: 偏斜：greed

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → DOWNTREND筑底中 → 下跌趋势

AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

DECLINE DOWNTREND

Jul 3, 2026

BLD weekly MACD crossed downBLD 周线MACD下穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jun 29, 2026

BLD broke down vs the marketBLD 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $359.76.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$359.76。

Jun 29, 2026

BLD daily MACD crossed downBLD 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $359.76.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$359.76。

Jun 25, 2026

UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备

Jun 24, 2026

NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jun 23, 2026

UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jun 19, 2026

BLD weekly MACD crossed upBLD 周线MACD上穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Jun 15, 2026

BLD daily MACD crossed upBLD 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $412.04.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$412.04。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 224 signals条信号

Company Profile公司档案

Demand chain:需求链： Homebuilder volume (revenue) contracting (-4% YoY to ~$113B) — the demand pool for building-products suppliers建筑商销量（营收）收缩（同比-4%，约 $113B）——建材供应商的需求来源