DECK Deckers Brands · $106.49 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

All coverage所有股票 · Consumer Disc.

Deckers Brands · Consumer Disc.

DECK

$106.49
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, doing business as Deckers Brands, is an American footwear designer and distributor founded in 1973 and based in Goleta, California. The company's portfolio of brands includes UGG, Teva, and Hoka.德克斯户外用品公司（以DeckersBrands名义经营）是一家美国鞋类设计与分销商，成立于1973年，总部位于加州戈利塔，旗下品牌组合包括UGG、Teva和Hoka。
Broken growth成长受损 Large cap大盘 $15B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 99.29.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 99.29 下方。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$106.49
14.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.1%
Market Cap市值
$15B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.8x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.10
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
50th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 DECK S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.0 points跑赢指数 2.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +0.7% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -5.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 10.0 points落后指数 10.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +5.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -0.3% +9.1% Lagged the index by 9.4 points落后指数 9.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +5.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 14.2 points落后指数 14.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +1.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 50th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$105.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$106.50
Stop止损
$99.29
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 DECK Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 14.80x 20.23
68%
P/B市净率 5.81x 2.97
27%
P/S市销率 2.77x 1.23
18%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.76% 4.53
72%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 6.32% 5.69
58%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 7.09% 4.31
76%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.64x 11.48
54%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 15.82x 16.53
54%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.5B
2021
$3.2B
2022
$3.6B
2023
$4.3B
2024
$5.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$13.47
2021
$16.26
2022
$19.37
2023
$29.16
2024
$6.33
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -17.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$564.0M
2021
$121.3M
2022
$456.4M
2023
$943.8M
2024
$958.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
57.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
23.6%
Net margin净利率
18.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
21.6%
39.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
25.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.52
Current ratio流动比率3.72
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$37.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-6.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (12.7) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 45% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 45% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.10×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.8%空头仓位变动 +10.8%
Technical技术面 DECK daily MACD crossed upDECK 日线MACD上穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.52%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.88%
Call wall看涨密集区
$120
Put wall看跌密集区
$100
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$100
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-19.3%
Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.2M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$1.2M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; 3-day crossed up; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉；3 日线向上交叉；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
DECK daily MACD crossed upDECK 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $107.80.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$107.80。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
DECK weekly MACD crossed downDECK 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
DECK reclaimed its 200-day averageDECK 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $104.26.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$104.26。
Jul 8, 2026
DECK lost its 200-day averageDECK 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $102.22.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$102.22。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
DECK StochRSI turned up from oversoldDECK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $105.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$105.67。
Jul 2, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
DECK reclaimed its 200-day averageDECK 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $104.69.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$104.69。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 110 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.48
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+2.6
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, doing business as Deckers Brands, is an American footwear designer and distributor founded in 1973 and based in Goleta, California. The company's portfolio of brands includes UGG, Teva, and Hoka.德克斯户外用品公司（以DeckersBrands名义经营）是一家美国鞋类设计与分销商，成立于1973年，总部位于加州戈利塔，旗下品牌组合包括UGG、Teva和Hoka。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。
Open Analyzer打开分析器 Browse All Stocks浏览所有股票