BURL Burlington Stores · $345.31 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Burlington Stores · Consumer Disc.

BURL

$345.31

Burlington, formerly known as Burlington Coat Factory, is an American national off-price retailer, and a division of Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse Corporation with more than 1,138 stores in 46 states and Puerto Rico, with its corporate headquarters located in Burlington...Burlington，原名BurlingtonCoatFactory，是一家美国全国性折扣零售商，是BurlingtonCoatFactoryWarehouseCorporation的一个部门，在46个州和波多黎各拥有超过1138家门店，公司总部位于新泽西州伯灵顿镇。

Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $22B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$345

$312

$345

$360

$310

$231$366

Price现价 $345Trail stop止损线 $312Don't chase勿追高 $345Call wall看涨期权墙 $360Put wall看跌期权墙 $310 Buy zone买入区 $328–$330

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$345.31

3.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.1%

Market Cap市值

$22B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

35.5x

20.2x sector median

Beta贝塔

0.95

Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Elevated偏高

Volatility Rank波动率分位

45th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

4.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	BURL	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+5.4%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 6.9 points跑赢指数 6.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+4.4%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月	-0.6%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 5.3 points落后指数 5.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+12.7%	+7.8%	Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+15.7%	+9.1%	Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+31.7%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 12.3 points跑赢指数 12.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+99.9%	+69.4%	Beat the index by 30.5 points跑赢指数 30.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 61 Elevated偏高

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.0% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +14.7% vs 200-day avg

Volatility rank波动率分位 45th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$329.05

Don't chase above不追高于

$345.30

Stop止损

$312.40

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 14 analysts预期上调 — 14 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	BURL	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	35.49x	20.23	14%
P/B市净率	11.98x	2.97	13%
P/S市销率	1.87x	1.23	34%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	2.82%	4.53	24%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	0.79%	5.69	12%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	1.29%	4.31	15%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	126.21x	16.53	5%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$5.8B

2020

$9.3B

2021

$8.7B

2022

$9.7B

2023

$10.6B

2024

$11.6B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.9%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$-3.28

2020

$6.00

2021

$3.49

2022

$5.23

2023

$7.80

2024

$9.51

2025

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

-$54.1M

2020

$480.7M

2021

$149.0M

2022

$376.1M

2023

-$17.0M

2024

$171.6M

2025

Margins利润率

Net margin净利率

5.3%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

10.6%

33.8%Return on Equity股本回报率

6.2%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Current ratio流动比率

1.23

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$278.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$106.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-0.9%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵

Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

0.95×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍

Financial Health财务健康

6/9

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

—

Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Retail theme — #24 of 46 themes「零售」主题 — 46 个主题中第 24 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易

Technical技术面 BURL made a new 52-week highBURL 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动

±2.23%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±4.99%

Call wall看涨密集区

$360

Put wall看跌密集区

$310

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$352

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

0.3%

Flow资金流向

$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 8 fresh positions; P/C 2.51; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +514); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；8个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.51；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +514）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.0M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$2.0M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~9 day(s) ago @ 312.36) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 9 天前形成 @ 312.36）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 16, 2026

BURL made a new 52-week highBURL 创52周新高

Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $356.22.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$356.22。

Jul 15, 2026

BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区

BUY买入

Jul 14, 2026

BURL daily MACD crossed upBURL 日线MACD上穿

The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $334.31.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$334.31。

Jul 13, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中